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Just to restate this since people seemed to miss it...


From Nintendo's Q1 report....

  • Aproximatley 3.5m units were shipped in Q1
  • They are Projecting 16.5m units shipped through FY08 (which started in april)
  • Simple math tells us they are planning on having 6m units for Q3 (which is Oct, Nov, Dec)
  • More simple math shows us that at the start of april they had ~6m Total sales, by adding their FY08 predictions we can see that by the end of March 08 they should have ~22.5m units shipped.
So if you think they are only going to have around 15-16m by end of calendar year you are assuming the Wii is going to stop selling out and won't sell out over the holidays....that or you doubt the always conservative production numbers.

To Each Man, Responsibility