Madden 08 is going to be ungodly high across the board - the X360 stands a decent chance of getting close to 1m copies 1st week (but not quite). 750-950k should happen. There was no way I figured NCAA08 would hit as high as it did.
As for PS2 vs. X360's Madden - I somewhat agree with Legend. The X360 version should see very good sales 1st week vs. PS2, but the PS2 has better legs. Nevertheless, I do believe that the X360 will sell the most - by about 200k or more units. I think Madden 07 last year sold 1.8-2.0m on the PS2 vs. 1.6m for the X360. Not much of a difference, considering the huge chance of NCAA's opening week for both systems.
PS2 software has been decreasing, and will continue. It's an outdated system, and regardless, people will addopt the next gen more readily (Wii, X360, PS3), with the X360 version taking the lion's share.
Thus far, imo, X360 devs have probably done pretty well thus far. There have been very few bombs in terms of sales - except for a few real budget games. Very, very few games have done under 250k that were considered "large" budget games, or even mid-budget.
As the gen goes along, I think, with the succuess of NCAA 08 PS3/X360 garnering near 450k first week sales, that devs will still have a very profitable option in PS3/X360 - enough to where there will still be plenty of major-IP/franchise titles. Just very few exclusives. Which really isn't bad. I really could care less if the PS3 gets an IP the X360 has, because I'm still getting 10x better games on the X360 than I did on the Xbox (but wheres my dang Dai Senraku 8 for X360!??!)
Japan charts in the process of updating.
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
