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You have to understand one thing people: they know how much they're producing and/or stockpilling, not you. The likelihood of them forecasting a number and then not meeting it because they "just can't make that many" is pretty slim.

So unless you're saying it will stop selling, with Paper, with Metroid, with Galaxy, with Smash, with Fit (all coming somewhere around the world) and with the holiday craze reaching everywhere, then they will meet their forecast. And their forecast means no less than 19 million shipped by the end of the year (with the a 95%+ sell through they've gotten us used too).

And if you doubt they can increase shipments when and where it matters look at Golden Week with a 25% increase, and more recently at DQS with a 50% increase for its release. You'll see more of that for the big releases, steadily increasing shipments until October, and then you'll see sales double in November and December.


Reality has a Nintendo bias.