Japan is not gonna forget about the PS3, make no mistake.

[johnsobas]

mrstickball said:
The Playstation 3 will never have some sort of renaissance in Japan.

1) Brand. The Japanese don't care anymore. They aren't buying the Playstation 3 because of the name, anymore than they bought the N64 during it's fall from grace. Japanese love to switch to the side they feel has the most compelling features.

2) Functionality. The PSP has quite a bit of extra functionality over the DS, which is what has caused the increase in sales. The DS has saturated that market quite well, and the PSP is the only other similar device in a nation that is going portable.

3) Competition. Unlike the PSP, the Playstation 3 has very formidable rivals. The Xbox 360 has the price + Otaku advantage, and the Wii has the casual advantage. With only XIII as their ace in the hole, do you really think that's going to give them some sort of insane advantage?

The PS3 will never reach any sort of PSP-style sales in Japan, ever. It can do better than it is now, at the pitiful 10k/wk that it's selling, and could even double yearly sales at some point. But it stands little chance of reaching 10,000,000 units sold in Japan over the next 3 years...Not good numbers considering their last console sold over 20,000,000 units, and is looking at beating the PS2 on a week-over-week level soon.

you bring up 10 million, i don't think it's even gonna get close to that.  Despite the big MGS bump it's still has sold barely more than the GC at this point.