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De85 on 13 August 2008
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De85 said:
blazinhead89 said:
De85 said:

FF XII sold 2.42 million in Japan on a userbase of around 20 million. Just to put things in perspective. I think when all is said and done there are going to be a lot of disappointed people in this thread.

 

And yet FFX Sold 3.02 Million in Japan alone on a far smaller userbase ( about 4-5 Million IIRC)

 

Given SE's current trend of releasing sequels and spinoffs for quick cash-ins I see very little indication of FF XIII being a return to form quality-wise. It's not even out yet but already has two spinoff s of its own.

As for FF X's sales, PS3 won't be anywhere near even 4 million in Japan when XIII releases. I'm going to go out on a limb and predict max lifetime sales of 2 million for FFXIII in Japan. If it were on the Wii then the sky's the limit, but it's not.

After actual analysis with the numbers I've got some revisions to my prediction.


PS2 userbase in Japan at FFX launch = 5.1 million, 76% of FFX sales occurred within 1 month of release, attaching at 44.59%

Following current trends the PS3 will have sold 4.1 million in Japan at the end of next year. If FFXIII trends similarly to X then it will sell 1.83 million in its first month, and go on to top out at around 2.41 million. That's more than my initial prediction, but I still think it's easily possible for the 360 to move more than 2.5 million copies of a huge title like FF combining the sales of two vastly larger regions. I would stilll take Dollas side of that bet.

Actual numbers may vary, in either direction based on reviews, demos, etc... Take from this what you will.