Libellule: This is just about AAA titles, not such titles as Lair or Uncharted. Those will sell 1m+ maybe but not 5 million or more.
I could easily list 30 Gamecube games as big as Lair. Lair won´t move that many consoles. Mario Smash Football is a title like Lair - it helps the console but what you really need are the big titles.
We should really talk about AAA titles and in 2008 there are just two exclusive AAA games on the PS3, Final Fantasy and Metal Gear.
@biggerboat: I agree the 360 will never be that big in Japan. But demand is still growing and it is not impossible it could reach 2 million units in Japan.
But I really think 2008 will be the year of the Wii in Japan. Just like Nights and Resident Evil: Umbrella Chronicles will be out this year there should easily be lots of big 3rd party games next year - they are just not announced yet. If a developer started working on a new title just now, they have nearly 18 monhts of developing time for those titles to be ready at Christmas 2008.
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