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I think COD:WaW will do very well on Wii. At least a million between Americas and Europe is about right it seems. It has a good chance of doing better with the Call of Duty namesake and assuming the game will actually be good.

I can't really say how The Conduit will do until I see how COD performs. If COD does really well, I think the Conduit might do just as good or better. That off the strength of it being exclusive, hyped, and (hopefully) being really good. We'll see though.