My thoughts on why the ps3 will eventually win this gen.

[cAPSLOCK]

I love wikipedia

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buyer's_remorse

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post-purchase_rationalization

It just doesn't make any sense to say that the PS3 will win this gen. In fact, I'll be surprised if they even manage to get 2nd place.

Let's face the facts: The PS3 has not the be all end all of gaming, as sales have shown, they're still hurting for decent sized stable of exclusives, and the price is still way too high for anyone but the most loyal Sony fan.

The 360 is about to become $200, that's going to have a huge impact given their list of games. The 360's biggest enemy is not the PS3 or even the Wii--the 360's biggest enemy is itself (reliability).

PS3 is not even a blip on Nintendo's radar at this point.  The target demographic isn't even close to being the same.

This whole 10 year lifecycle thing sounds a bit crazy when you consider that the PS3's main attraction is graphics ...something it was obsolete at right out of the box (compared to PC) on launch day.  Given that 360 and PS3 fanboys never shut the f*** up about Wii graphics capability you guys don't get to skirt around this issue when you bring up the 10 year lifecycle.  At least the Wii has something to fall back on. It's a fact, and it's going to become more apparent when the next generation is released, or the next big PC tech jump happens.

Even though Blu Ray won a format war against HDDVD doesn't mean it's going to become the standard. One of the biggest gripes from movie and game companies is reselling of used games--cutting into profit.  Direct download could possibly be the standard for next gen gaming. They already have 32 gig SD cards, memory is becoming cheaper by the day--or maybe it'll be like Steam where you buy it and own it forever as an account. 

Yes there's a lot of flaming and people laughing, but I imagine it has something to do with getting a front row seat to the 2 articles at the top of my post.