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Everyone is underestimating ps3's brandname. I can give you casuals who say they will upgrade to the PS3 once the price falls and there is more content aimed at them. Last year everyone said there is no chance the PS3 can outsell the 360, but for 9 months in a row 360 was last. Wait and see what happens when Sony introduces the PS3 slim priced at $299. I'm not saying that the Wii doesn't have any chances, since it does, but PS3 also has chances.