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Pretty solid analysis if not worthy of a news posting by VGC. I pretty much agree overall just a few minor things I would look at as far as Sept and Oct. September I'm not sure if it will be that high, but it very well could be and likely very close. The reason I say this is it somewhat depends on how many Arcades SKUs they can get out there. Because I know for many $199 is going to be somewhere in the category of insta-buy and no brainer. So MS must stock a few more of these than the normal 10-20% they have to date IIRC.

October on the other hand has both Fallout 3 and Fable 2 while leading into Gears of War 2. So you could see some early buyers that month with titles like these out before Gears 2. It certainly is going to be a blockbuster season I would imagine with these price points going forward and probably the best to date. With that said I believe they could even surpass this next year as they have a lot of wiggle room with the mainline pro SKU in the coming years. It all depends on the SW lineup in 09 however.