| Tetsuya said: 1. i think price-if you come to notice that a console is getting constant price cuts thats an early indication 2. lack of games- there is no software for the system i cant think of anything else cause my brain hurts but can anyone else think of facts? |
There are signs but not the ones you want to hear... but I'll try to answer your question in regard to me. Your first opinion - price cuts - is an indication for sure but there are certain senerios you got to look out for in that case too. For me, constant price cuts after it's been on the market for 1 month to 1 1/2 years - yes there's a problem. but still there are jsut too many senerios where price drops aren't really a sign of trouble so I don't really hold that too high.
Your second point could be true too but you have to look at the time line. Typically consoles don't really have games coming out for it till it's 10th or 11th month mark. If a console doesn't bring out a significant number of games that make you say "damn that was good" in 1 1/2 years then that might be a problem but then again it's not really the meat of it.
Let me break it down for you with this gen and you may disagree with everything I say but then hey, this is jsut my thought pattern. OK so... well actually seeing as I'm in a rather close and hostile site I'd rather not break things down here but if you're at all interested you could PM me and I'll break down as detailed as possible how one can know what console is going to dominate and which will fail. Hey, I've, so far, not ever backed a failed console as a matter of fact, I've only backed what always turns out to be the dominate console so I must be doing something right I guess. I've also been gaming for almost 3 decades now so that helps too :)
