To make my post short and simple, I will say I agree with a lot of what Bodhesatva has said.
But I think it is WAY WAY to early to give these kinds of predictions any real merit, we have not seen the Wii's first real X-Mas numbers. Launch X-mas is not indicative of current Wii sales, and I think this year's X-mas numbers are going to be the first glimpse at the Wii's possibilities for this kind of a record.
Aside from that an all-to often ignored fact of the PS2 is that its sales numbers have a lot to do with double/triple-purchases and other nefarious reasons. In other words, there were a lot of consoles that people had to purchase 2 or 3 times due to laser failures, consoles purchased twice because they wanted slim, and a large market opened up when the HD loader become prevalent and people started pirating games on the system. Some of you may not be aware of this but with the right information you can stick all your PS2 games on an HD and load them without the discs. Now add in rentals and you have major interest in the console from the piracy community.
I won't open a debate on the validity of those sales being included, I just wanted to point out that those are the booms in sales that the Wii will be contending with. And if it does manage to outsell the PS2 without dipping into those markets then those are some truly amazing sales numbers.
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