PS3 will reach 40 million consoles LTD by end of 2009

[shams]

Rock_on_2008 said:

^This is my prediction people. Well I have a good chance of PS3 reaching the total of 40 million consoles sold by 31 December 2009.

Wii should be over 70 million by end of December 2009. X360 will be just over 35 million consoles.

PS3 in front of X360 by around 5 million consoles by end of 2009. This  sounds reasonable to me.

*Fixed: adjusted X360 and Wii estimates. Up by 5 million consoles on original estimates. I am sticking with 40 million PS3 consoles by the end of 2009. I was so tempted to state that PS3 would of reached 50 million consoles by end of 2009 as my thread.

I doubt it very much.

In short: Sony forecast 10m PS3 sales FY 08-09. Sales at the END of March '09 will be around 22m.

For your prediction to come true, they would have to DOUBLE FY shipments to 20m for FY 09-10. If they get upped to 15m, I think they are doing well. But 20m I think is just not going to happen.

It also means that for YOUR prediction to come true - the PS3 will have to sell 18m units in 9 months. That is basically "Wii" selling rates, or an average of 400k-450k per week - through the entire year.

Good luck with this prediction of yours. I won't estimate figures for end of '09 just yet, but I'm expecting something closer to 32m-35m.