Bodhesatva, brilliant post.
Quickdraw, it really depends on more than what is currently visible. Will 3rd parties give more REAL support? Will the casual market really change things? Will the PS3 or Xbox360 reach a truly attainable price point any time soon?
I think that the casuals haven't even started backing the Wii yet, because they are still too hard to find. A casual gamer isn't going to wait around for a video game, they will get one when it is more readily available (and cheaper). The stats are showing that 90% of buyers owned a console last generation. I think it will mimick the DS pretty closely, when it drops to $199 (in 2012 :P ) and there are penty in stock (also in 2012 :P ) thats when we will see if casual gamers are really gonna make a difference.
I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.
