It's been forever since I took the financial modeling class, but it does seem a bit unusual to try to figure out the next quarter's HW&SW sales as based on this quarter's profits. It might be a better idea to use traditional fin modeling techniques like projecting CF's, AR, liabilities, etc. In the real world fin modeling ain't just a simple cut and dry thing, and even a lot of financial professionals w/ MBAs and Certified Financial Analyst certifications (basically the only cert out there for the equity analysts that do modeling need) have a hard time with it, but seriously, good try mate, as a lot of times, I think that a lot of times, a fairly intuitive guess would work just as well as anything else, I mean I guessed around -10 to -20 million yen and things were a bit better than I expected, but I was definitely in the ballpark.
If you think that you'll like fin modeling, it would be a great idea to take a lot of accounting classes, b/c you'd need to know how all of the asset/Liab/OE classes affect each other to produce the big picture.
Cheers.
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