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I'm going with 42.5k.

Points in favor:

1- It's the fourth in the series, which should make it quite frontloaded (at least in terms of the hardcore franchise fans).

2- It's a game in an underrepresented genre in Wii's library (but I believe this will manifest itself more through legs than first week sales).

Points against:

1- It's not on Playstation like the previous games, but this is countered by what's likely a hardcore fan group of this franchise who will buy a Wii if they don't already have one.

2- It's a slow period of the year.

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957