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JGarret said:

A lot of people keep saying "sometime next year the PS3 will surpass the 360´s worldwide install base"....I guess it´s possible, but how LIKELY do you think that is?

 

It's definitely possible.  Assigning any reasonably accuracy likelyhood is impossible because we do not know Microsoft's strategies or Sony's strategies.

Personally, I think Sony has a very good chance to surpass the 360 sometime between October 2009 and December 2010.  At that point we will be about one year from entering the next generation with both the PS4 and next Xbox almost certain to be out by 2011 or 2012 at the latest.