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BengaBenga on 27 July 2008
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naraku2099 said:
BengaBenga said:
lol, this is posted several times now and there's no way PS3 will ever reach that or even PS1 level sales ever.

The competition for the core gamer is stronger, the massive amount of casuals that were on PS2 are buying Wii's and there are only a handfull of important exclusives left.

Don't be dissing PS3 yet buddy. We're not far into the console's life cycle yet so you can't say that.

 

 

How am I dissing the PS3?

I'm saying it won't ever sell close to 100 million consoles, that's not dissing, that's called reality.

Dissing would be saying something like "PS3 sucks", but that's noty what I'm saying. It's a great machine and certainly has fantastic games, but it will be around 20 million after 3 holiday periods. There is nothing that will cause a dramatic increase.

Let's do some number crunching:

End 2008: 20 million (I think we can all agree it will be somewhere around that)
End 2009: 35 million (with a 50% increase, which is a lot because the big games GT5 and FF13 will probably still not be therere)
End 2010: 55 million (Here I've gone completely PS3-positive and gave it Wii/PS2 sales numbers in its 4th year, while usually 2+3 are peak years)
End 2011: 70 million (15 million in its 5th year is a very positive prediction, but who knows)

See what I did? Even when I'm very positive it won't come close to PS2 numbers, cause that's what the discussion is about. At 60 million PS3 has a fine userbase, so I don't see what the problem is. Just accept that PS3 isn't the PS2. It's totally different. PS2 was the people's machine, PS3 is more of an elite device. Of course it will sell less.