interesting threat. Of course many doesn't agree but I do think too that this generation will last longer and it will change the way of making videogames, just like the 8-bit and 32-bit generations did.
I personally see this generation and how slow it has begun, Xbox360's first year was pretty unoticed and it wasn't until the end of it's 2d year that ist started to have more value. also, they just recently started to have some profit and they will keep supporting a little more.
PS3's failure wasn't expected by ANYBODY and therefore, sony would do whatever it takes to not end like Sega (something that is not hard for them at all).
Of course the "blame" ;P is to Nintendo 's Wii. It showed that there is a bigger market and its spec techs confused many developers who were used to cool graphx and sounds and 2 sticks and 8 buttons. Wii tries to go back to the core of videogames (fun above all) and many developers are reorginizng their priorities. If it keeps moving this way, Wii will be the winner of this generation and 3d parties will start to supporting it yet a bit late. With Wii, graphics are a comodty now so is just a matter of making good games from now on.
So,that's like 2/3 years more or else of reevaluation..plus 5 years of normal life...yeah I do think that it will last 7/8 years. That would be cool. I hate that consoles only last 5 miserable years.
But of course, nothing is written in stone in this industry ^^
