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ferret1603 said:
I agree for the simple reason that if someone chooses to launch another console in the next couple of years there's no reason for the others to follow. The company launching early would be resetting their install base to zero and competing against the others' existing bases.

 

Exactly my thoughts.
I think MS will still be the first ones to launch a new console, but the 360 won't be immediately shut down like it happened with the original Xbox.