Wii Fit will not be included as a packed in game, most certainly there will be a Wii fit bundle! Packed in games means it's free, bundle is just a nicer deal. Wii Fit is too important for Nintendo to make money out of it. Expect that bundle to include Wii Sports too! Yes there is no question that Wii Sports will beat SMB. And it will be on #1 for a long long time. And when that happens, SMB isn't gonna be so sure of it's 2nd place. Unless they will include VC downloads for SMB as actual units sold. I bet that game is in the top10 VC downloads and will have great legs on it too lol.
Edit: Wii Sports 2 will not replace Wii Sports, just like they never replaced SMB with SMB2 or SMB3! But just like Duckhunt before, they could add in more games! I rather have them include free Wii points instead.


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