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SOLIDSNAKE08 on 22 July 2008
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Jlmadyson said:
TheSource said:

360 started off slower than the original Xbox, then started selling as well, and now outpaces it significantly in most world regions. Overall, the pace is up slightly at the moment, but its still accelerating a bit.

Xbox 360 should top 24.5m shipped by the quarter ending 12/31/2008. I suspect it will decline in 2009, but not terribly as it approaches mass market. Theres no reason to think 360 can't top at least 35 million shipped by the time things are said and done, and it should be alot higher than that.

Since 360 sell through will be ~26m by the end of 2008, vs. ~24m sell through for Xbox by the end of 2007 when the channel was finally clear, it seems pretty clear that Xbox 360 still has a decent amount of life left in it.

The issue is, PS3 is slowly but steadily trimming into the 360 lead on a worldwide basis, and Wii could conceivably be 20m ahead of Xbox 360 by the end of 2008 if supply held up, with 15-18m ahead as a more conceivable range.

 

 

 

 

 That is the issue right there. I think you guys need to look into your others for the last week and recheck your sources. For one we already saw the story out today about 40gbs in very short supply in Europe. Two, many in retail have said in the US the 40GBs have not been restocked since weeks ago. More importantly that retail source story out of Europe stated that they have already seen sales decline basically because Sony announced the 80GB model which isn't hitting until the end of August. This will impact July and August NPD weeks so you guys may want to double check your material before putting out nearly 90k in others for last week. How in the world did you all come up with this number or did you guys just try to readjust from other places? Like seriously how did you guys come up for nearly 90k in others last week.

 What is more is I hope you guys realize like the Gamasutra analysis this morning the 360 is going to be on top over the PS3 for July NPD. Many in retail have already stated that the 360 is seeing very nice numbers since the fire sale with a lot of advertising in stores such as BB, GS as well as others. I see no reason not to anticipate, with Madden on the horizon, the 360 outselling the PS3 in both July and August NPD. What is more is those others numbers best reflect the shortages and the decline in sales due to Sony’s move and whatever effect MGS4 has had is long gone as we clearly see with JP HW numbers week after week. Once NPD comes it is going to be hard to keep readjusting in other places like things have been.

 

 It will be very interesting to see where you guys put the 360 and PS3 for this week and the weeks to come in both the US and others. I'll be keeping an eye out for sure.

 

 

what the hell are you babbling on about?