Erik rants. Today: "The PS3 is not the N64!"

[Kwaad]

HappySqurriel said: In spite of what people believe today, cartridges were not (and have never been) obsolete technology ... The fact is if you could produce a cost-effective flash based (the modern equilivalent to a cartridge) the benefits would far outweigh the problems. The problems with cartridges on the N64 was Nintendo was building a system with the idea of low load times and seamless worlds when the industry was focused on full motion video, and when the N64 was released represented the largest gap capacity/cost between an optical disk (CD) and a memory format (memory cartridge). Trust me, within 2 years we will have flash memory which challenges Blu-Ray for capacity and with in 5 years memory of that size will be inexpensive enough to deliver content on it ...

I want to call you on this really quick. Samsung has a 64gb CF card in prototype. However the cheapest you will find anything over 8gb, is about 200$ (infact most 8gb are around 100$) Follow the 'triple' price for data plan. 8gb = 50 16gb = 150 32gb = 450 64gb = 1350 price halves every year. I will go with the 64gb because that is the 'first' to surpass BluRay. 2008 - 675 2009 - 336 2010 - 168 2011 - 84 (getting there) 2012 - 42 (still not quite cheap enough to put on a 50$ game) 2013 - 21 (almost there) 2014 - 11.50 (finally within reason. I think we already have 'prototype' flash memory that rivals BluRay. We do have 200gb prototype BluRay media tho. Basically it will be over a year before we see 64gb flash media. And it will be well over 5 years before we see it cheap enough for mainstream. I have a high intrest in Flash Media. I have a *need* and I mean a professional need for it. Let's just say I have a 2gb Card, and it lasts me about 30 minutes. (I need at least 4 hours) I assure you. We wont be seeing mainstream Flash media passing BluRay in the near future. As TDK is gonna be launching a new line of BluRay burners in a year or two, and along with those burners, they will launch the new 200gb BD-R. And then that will put a chokehold on mass media storage.