Blu-Ray Growth Vs. VOD Growth

[alpha_dk]

libellule said:

Kasz216 said:

libellule said:

Kasz216 said:

Your two articles are counting all PS3 players as used blu-ray drives. Don't you see the spin with that?

Also they are using revenue. Is it any surprise Blu-ray revenue has like quadrupled when PS3 sales have rapidly gone up?

You are spreading misinformation... not clearing it up.

The point Alpha was making too was that when you take into account the revenue differences that DVD sales were actually outpacing Blu-ray sales.

Unlike DVD vs VHS. Where VHS sales were declining.

So, plz, explain it to me again because I failed to see where it was shown that DVD sales where
rising as opposed to VHS sales (if I follow you)

I didn't get the point indeed and I just want to understand.

 

DVD vs VHS or DVD vs Blu-ray?  Cause the later is easier to show, while the former involves digging up like 10 year old news articles.

 

 

 Let's assume we are guessing that when DVD was released, VHS sales have collapsed (slowly or not).

But, NOW, in the battle DVD vs BR

I want to understand where it was shown DVD sales have risen (or were kept constant) and that BR sales have risen less than DVD sales (or decreased).

Alpha showed an overall 1.1% increase for both format COMBINED which do not help us to answer the question.

Ok, the math (link for data is in other thread):

1.1% UNIT SALES growth (DVD + BR).

1.1% REVENUE growth

UNIT SALES growth = REVENUE growth.

DVD = less revenue/sale than BR.  You can see this by looking at prices of the disks

This means, that since the overall market is almost all DVD, IF BR sales accounted for most of the growth, then 1.1% unit sales growth would equal >1.1% revenue growth.  HOWEVER, any BR growth is surpassed by DVD sales growth; hence, the revenue is not growing faster than the unit sales.

When you are looking at 1.5-3x the revenue from a BR sale than a DVD sale, if it were driving the growth in unit sales then 1.1% unit sale growth would equal a 1.6-3.3% growth in revenue.  THIS IS NOT HAPPENING.  It gets even worse if you assume that DVD sales are declining and BR is picking up the slack.

If we assume DVD sales fell 1% and BR accounted for the entire 1.1% growth in addition to making up that 1% drop, you have a 2.1% of unit sales.  This *should* equal a 3-6% revenue growth, WHICH DID NOT HAPPEN.

The ONLY way this could happen is if DVD sales are outpacing BR sales significantly, even in growth.