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akuma587 on 20 July 2008
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alpha_dk said:


2) VOD is growing FASTER than either, and more people ACTUALLY use VoD services than use BR. Lillebule was saying that BR was more mainstream; I was simply correcting that (false) assumption. I never said BR would die; I said it was less mainstream, and would likely end up like UMD; still supported, but NOT the driving force behind the industry.

Your first article talks about declines in the DVD industry WHICH ARE NOT HAPPENING.

Your second article talks about BR adoption compared to DVD adoption, which I never brought up. I just said VoD adoption was higher than either (which is true)

Your third article doesn't account for any ad-supported or subscription-based VoD services, completely eliminating the most popular services.

Edit: I guess i should rephrase: I used the entire industry for the one I was calling 'smaller', and a subset for the one I was calling 'larger'. It helps their argument, and hurts mine, but still mine comes out on top, so...

You are right that ad-supported VOD is a relevant (and large) part of the market, but pretty much every major analyst does not calculate those figures.  I assume you are talking about mostly web-based distribution on those.  It is also only a factor for television shows, and almost never for movies.  Does the article say it isn't accounting for subscription based services?

DVD sales are not exactly dropping, I think most everyone who has looked at the figures would agree they are plateauing. They may drop in the near future and will definitely drop within the next ten years as new competitors gain foothold (i.e. VOD or Blu-Ray). And that really isn't a relevant issue anyways to this debate.

 

 



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