Nintendo's Third Party Strategy?

[alpha_dk]

radioioRobert said:
If the theory is correct and works, there might be strong 3rd party profits the last two quarters of 2008.

Of course this will only work until M$ releases the Newton/Xmote and pays off anyone developing for Nintendo to stop.

As the Wii userbase gets relatively bigger, that moneyhat will have to get bigger as well...

Will they be willing to pay *every* third party upwards of 25-50 million to develop for them?  Especially when there is more at stake to the 3rd parties than the direct profit from the sales; they have to take into account the deprecation to their biggest brands' values by not getting them into the machines and minds of as many people as possible.

No, I don't think MS's moneyhat strategy will work against the Wii.  It works against Sony because the difference between 19.7M and 14.3M puts the math in their favor anyways; they only have to make up the cost of not selling to a small userbase.  Between 19.7 and 29M, they have to make up a *huge* moneyhat.  It's not feasable in the long run, even to MS (after all, they have to remain profitable; their shareholders don't see Nintendo as a threat to their OS monopoly, so why would they care if Nintendo took over the living room?)