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Globally Mario I think .Halo 3 may sell a lot in US but the lackluster performance of the console in Europe and Japan will hurt its global sales .And by the way no way will Halo 3 sell 8 million in NA ....there are just 5.5 million X360 for gods sake !By september there may be 6 or 6.5 if Halo 3 boost a lot the sales but it cant sell 8 millions .

Mario will sell a lot in the 3 continents ,so it will win between these two .