The original prediction was:
Revenue: 1,780(*) million
Profit: 100(*) million
Again, here was the original thread:
http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=31432&start=0
Let’s take a look at Revenue: This is where the BIGGEST mistake was. (Note: When I did the MSFT projections, maybe I wasn’t thinking too much or too optimistic, either or, BIG MISTAKE) In projecting $1,780(*) in revenue, I projected 2.1(*) million consoles to be sold. The actual number reported was 1.3 million consoles sold. That’s a huge difference and basically explains the revenue variance of +13% Using the EXACT SAME NUMBERS and assumptions, if I changed the consoles sold to 1.3 million, the projected revenue would be $1,501(*). This would only represent an actual variance of $74(*) million or -4.6%, well within the 5% variance range







