I think H3 will sell about 5-6million units lifetime and SMB Galaxy about 7 million lifetime - maybe even a little bit more
my reasons:
H3: I think it won't attain the glory of it's old days ,for there are far more good console shooters out or in the making now and Halo is too true to itself with the gameplay having no new wow-effects. Still it will maintain the title of the best-selling console shooter.
SMB Galaxy: Mario has proven to be a major franchise even for casual gamers , who already make up for the most parts of the Wii userbase , but I think nowadays there are more casual titles to chose from ,so the money won't automatically go to a single player Mario game (I believe SSBB will sell better and "steal" some of the customers from Galaxy).
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