PS3 - 360; and the gap shortens....

[kn]

Neither is going to set the world on fire until they are $250 or less -- especially with the U.S. economy struggling. Just as a side note, I get this from VGC tables: (this is DEC 1 to Jul 5 or 32 weeks)


Console PS3 X360
Total 7,582,868 6,030,075

Thats a net difference of 1,552,793 consoles over 32 weeks or 48,524 on average. This includes any effects from MGS IV and GT5:P. Obviously, that number may be a bit larger over the holidays, but it will depend a lot on pricing, how well the $299 deal sells, etc. This includes Holiday 2007 worldwide. With a current gap of 5,580,000, we are still looking at 114 weeks from today to match the 360. If we were to take only from the beginning of January to now, the differential looks like this:

Console PS3 X360
Total 5,182,466 3,815,486

This is a spread of 1,366,980 in 27 weeks or about 50,628 consoles per week. This pretty much tells the same story. 50K units per week, on average, for PS3 sales over 360 sales and again means 2 years from today.

Obviously the PS3 needs to "accelerate" the sales differential in the coming months -- especially the holidays -- to close the gap in 2K9. It will be interesting to see how the two new pricing announcements affect sales in the next month or two as well as whether or not the FFXIII announcement will let any air out of the PS3's sails...

I posted something similar some time ago and people jumped all over me and pointed out that you can't just future sales by looking at the past. Clearly the PS3 has picked up momentum, but GTAIV and MGSIV have not changed the landscape much. Blu-Ray is now the defacto standard, however, and the holidays may be quite solid for the PS3... We'll see...