It depends on how the PS3 does, really. If the PS3 does well, the 360 would probably do better than the original XBOX and sell 5 million more. Its peak will be 07 and slow down significantly. If the PS3 fails, t will also peak in 07 and will continue to sell relatively well in first half of 08 then taper off significantly and sell 10 million more than the original. Both could also have relatively equal market share a la XBOX and Gamecube. It won't be market leader in any territory though after all is said and done. That title is reserved only for Nintendo and Sony this generation.
xbox360 will save only low price. for 300$ i also would buy 120GB + HDMI xbox360 version. :) next xbox has no chance against ps4, cause ps4 with 8-16 cell inside will beat everything. Just now cell for ps3 is like prototype, the developers gonna find how to work best with cell, and on ps4 with such experience they will make mega power.
Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...
2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.
Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.
1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.
PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far
The only performance that is important in this context is sales performance ... The PS3 can have all the super-powered cell processors in the world and if it doesn't start selling better Sony will be forced to replace it in 2010 or 2011. Now, if I was Sony, Microsoft or Nintendo I would be focusing my efforts on producing as powerful of a console as I could for $200-$250 in 2010 or 2011; as we're seeing with the PS3 and XBox 360, we're hitting a point where having greater performance is not that noticeable so pricing your system at $400 or $600 to get better hardware is mostly counter productive.
I think the real question with the next Playstation and Xbox is to what extent will they follow or try to top Nintendo in terms of innovative control? Can they get away with *another* generation with the same-old gamepads? Is there something even more far-out innovative than what the Wii is doing they can move to? The direction for the next Wii I think is pretty clear: make an eye-toy-ish camera (in the sensor bar) standard kit (for for eye-toy like games, and absolute positioning of the wiimote/nunchuck)... add a microphone to the Wiimote... big hard-drive for downloadable... The thing developes itself.
PSN ID: Kwaad
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