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Forums - Gaming Discussion - Dragon Qust 10: The Snowball Effect

Smashchu2 said:

It surprises me that so many PS3 and 360 minds are so calm about the announcement of Dragon Quest. I would be dead scared. The game will cut the lifespan of the HD Bros. It's not crazy to think that this game will create a snowball effect for Wii 3rd party.

 

I guess you just want that they get scared and whine about it..;

Anyway the most gamers don't care so much anymore about Japanese games cause Western games are getting more popular and end up being better games.  Just check how many Japanese games sold a million on X360/PS3 compared to games from Western devs.






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konnichiwa said:
Smashchu2 said:

It surprises me that so many PS3 and 360 minds are so calm about the announcement of Dragon Quest. I would be dead scared. The game will cut the lifespan of the HD Bros. It's not crazy to think that this game will create a snowball effect for Wii 3rd party

Anyway the most gamers don't care so much anymore about Japanese games cause Western games are getting more popular and end up being better games.  Just check how many Japanese games sold a million on X360/PS3 compared to games from Western devs.

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Hmmmm, ever thought there was some correlation to that. Seems odd that Western games are selling on the HD Bros, but not Japanese games. I must mean that western games are better and will become the norm. It can't mean that the systems are more popular in the west thus the western games do well on it. It can't be it. It must be that western games are, indeed, better. (Remember that the company beating everyone to a bloody pulp is a Japanese company)

To those who have mentioned that the Japanese are supporting the Wii: I am inclined to agree with you all, but I still disagree in the nature of it. The Japanese are getting the wake up call that they must support the Wii. What I think we will see is that more and more they will poor resources into the Wii. The JRPG makers will make it their console home, and the 360 may be left in the dust in this department. I think DQ will bring an end to this oddity of not supporting the Wii and that the system will finally become the 3rd party system like the PS2 was.

 



Traditionally if you won the Japanese market, you would win thw console race as 3rd parties flocked toward your console. However, as shown, Western developers have definately caught up, if not surpassed Japanese developers.

However, you are correct, that a snowball efect will happen now that this title has been announced. How big is yet to be seen. I do picture 2 or 3 more main series coming to the Nintendo. What they are is still unknown, but I think this E3 will show a huge 3rd party backing for the little white box.

Side Note:
I seriously cannot see how Square Enix would not put all its major titles such as KH3 directly to the Wii first and foremost or release it as a multi-plat.

The proof in the pudding was Final fantasy going to X360.
It's not about being a fan of a system, its about practical business sense.



Predictions For Last Full Week of Sales in 2010)

WII - 80.35 Million

360 - 43.88 Million

PS3 - 41.40 Million

More terrible predictions coming Jan. 2011!!!

Smashchu2 said:
jammy2211 said:
Bahahaha, the way you made it sound so routine and simple was funny.

But yeah, the one big huge flaw with your argument for me, is that you think the RPG genre is still anywhere near as relevent as it used to be, or that Japanese developers still focus mainly on the Japanese market. At the moment it still makes more sense for most RPG's to be on the DS or PSP, as they are now where the Japanese market holds its strength.

Japan's developers will obviously be putting more resources into the Wii but the way you made it sound... no chance, especially with the way nearly every third party game has sold on the console thus far in Japan minus a few established franchises.

I think the real trend in Japan is how they're now focusing more and more on the Western markets - the first and best signs were Capcom producing software like Dead Rising, Lost Planet, Dark Void, Bionic Commando. Konami and SEGA are both heading more into a western lead developement, even Square Enix are trying as they realise that's where the biggest market is going to be.

Dq10 really doesn't change anything. Publishers will support Wii cause they can make money on it, they'll support PS360 cause they can make money on them.


I'd say a much more reasonable argument is RPG's which are tailered to just the Japan market should head to Wii, but for a company like Square Enix who want to get a big piece of the American / European market, they need to keep supporting the PS360 and build on the inevitable success of FFXIII.

It's not a matter of my argument is flawed, but the fact you misjudge how everything works.

You say RPG aren't as importaint, I say you are dead wrong. What do you think the DS has been for? What do you think the PS2 was for. RPGs are a driving franchise in the business becuase they do well across boarders. FPSs are not becuase they sell in the western countries and can not break into the Japanese market. FF and DFQ were always good games to have as they are killer apps.

The problem with YOUR arguement is you eat up the Industry wisdon (an oxymoron at best). Take a look at the italics. It's obvious you didn't comprehend anything I wrote. Why else did I write "snowball". Why do you think I made mention of the movement to the Wii? Why? Becuase DQ will make Japanese developers more to the Wii DURR. You did not focus on the fact that I already mentioned what you said I was wrong about, a flaw in your argument.

Now look at the bold. It's obviouse you don't understand the business or business in general. It's not about making monye. It's about making more money. Even if developers can make money on the 360/PS3, it is more viable to make a Wii game. It's cheaper to developer for and has a larger install base. It's the obvious choice. "Oh, but 3rd parties don't sell on the Wii." Yeah, becuase no one is putting their resources into them. The 3rd parties want Sony and Microsoft to win, not Nintend. Sadly, they can't control it. Like many have said, the treand is already starting. They can not help the HD Bros. They will support the Wii or be left in the dust. This is why many development studios have been failing.

 

 RPG's arn't as relevent as they once were, all of Square-Enix's major franchise are selling less in Japan and Western markets (Except Dragon Quest sells more on Japan, although we've not really got solid figures for those before VIII). RPG's are not a 'driving franchise' anymore, shooters and western type games see far more sales now, I seriously don't see how you think RPG's are more relevent then FPS's. Just look at the sales of any RPG game other then FF and Dragon Quest... (especially outside of Japan).

DQ will make more RPG's on Wii and whatnot, but I was more just laughing at this idea that the west would follow. That aside, I still don't think the Wii is going to be the RPG behemoth of the past as I don't think sales will be those that the PS2 made. DS and PSP, the handheld market in Japan, is where the whole of the Japan market seems to have headed. Wii is racking up high sales but the software that's sold on it thus far isn't really RPG's. It really makes more sense for the RPG's to keep heading to DS and PSP, surely?

 The question is how do publishers make the most money, and is the only supporting the Wii in the dramatic way you try to make out honestly going to result in the best returns. The western developers certainly wouldn't benefit from abandoning the PS360 as they all have alot of high selling franchises, whereas the Japanese developers seem more and more focused on getting a piece of the western market for themselves.

 Every publisher and studio is in a different position and whether supporting the HD consoles, Wii, handhelds or a multiplatform statregy depends on their situation. Not all studios will benefit from developing just for the Wii, not all publishers will benefit from abandoning the PS360, you're simplifying things too much.

 And I think the reason most PS360 people didn't care about the DQX announcement, is because both consoles have pretty much given up on the JApanese market anyway, and most don't care, because it's no longer the important and relevent hub of video games it was a decade ago.



I think most of us realize that DQ10 isn't a real "killer app."

This is just another "The Wii will get serious 3rd party support when XYZ comes/happens" thread.



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Why would one game for an area of the world where home consoles are struggling overall effect the big picture at all that much?

Besides this, the Wii is NOT the PS2. Will never be like the PS2. It will not attract the most talented 3rd party developers, not now and not 2 years into the future. The platforms they are working on now will likely be the platforms they will be working on at the end of the generation, it doesn't make sense to retool for a different platform halfway through when they have established their tools, systems and franchises.



Tease.

Smashchu2 said:
konnichiwa said:
Smashchu2 said:

It surprises me that so many PS3 and 360 minds are so calm about the announcement of Dragon Quest. I would be dead scared. The game will cut the lifespan of the HD Bros. It's not crazy to think that this game will create a snowball effect for Wii 3rd party

Anyway the most gamers don't care so much anymore about Japanese games cause Western games are getting more popular and end up being better games.  Just check how many Japanese games sold a million on X360/PS3 compared to games from Western devs.

Hmmmm, ever thought there was some correlation to that. Seems odd that Western games are selling on the HD Bros, but not Japanese games. I must mean that western games are better and will become the norm. It can't mean that the systems are more popular in the west thus the western games do well on it. It can't be it. It must be that western games are, indeed, better. (Remember that the company beating everyone to a bloody pulp is a Japanese company)

To those who have mentioned that the Japanese are supporting the Wii: I am inclined to agree with you all, but I still disagree in the nature of it. The Japanese are getting the wake up call that they must support the Wii. What I think we will see is that more and more they will poor resources into the Wii. The JRPG makers will make it their console home, and the 360 may be left in the dust in this department. I think DQ will bring an end to this oddity of not supporting the Wii and that the system will finally become the 3rd party system like the PS2 was.

 

 

 Lol I love it,  now you are litteraly saying...Of course Western system owners want more Western games still you want that they care about how DQX will kill Japanese support for the HD consoles.

And yeah Western games are (getting) better just look how many games got an award this year and you will see a lot of Western games compared to Japanese games.  Even the best RPG awards are going to Western devs. Lucky there was MGS4 otherwise their would be almost no Japanese game that got an award.






"Square-Enix's major franchise are selling less in Japan and Western markets"

What a lie.



A flashy-first game is awesome when it comes out. A great-first game is awesome forever.

Plus, just for the hell of it: Kelly Brook at the 2008 BAFTAs

Squilliam said:
Why would one game for an area of the world where home consoles are struggling overall effect the big picture at all that much?

Besides this, the Wii is NOT the PS2. Will never be like the PS2. It will not attract the most talented 3rd party developers, not now and not 2 years into the future. The platforms they are working on now will likely be the platforms they will be working on at the end of the generation, it doesn't make sense to retool for a different platform halfway through when they have established their tools, systems and franchises.

Why would one game for an area of the world where home consoles are struggling overall effect the big picture at all that much?

Well, wasn't that the whole point of the post? The idea is it is support to make the system a haven for JRPGs and then move up from there. Many people have mentioned that the Japanese have already began supporting the Wii, but it is this game that will let it all tumble into the Wii. 

The thing is the Wii should be the PS2. It should attract the most talented 3rd party developers. It does make sence to retool for a different platform halfway through when they have established their tools, systems and franchises.The reason is becuase Nintendop does not need 3rd parties, they need them. The industry and the drones have all beleive the 3rd parties as the controlling factor, yet everytime they are wrong. But.....they continue to think this way. Too many developers are going under or struggling. They continue to beleive this model is true and ignore the Wii. The reason why I have made the mention of this so often is becuase this is what the industry needs to do. They have to put their money where there mouth is. The games fail becuase they don't make them top priority. If they tried to make a game like Nintendo did, then they might succeed.

 



I agree, it will do the same kind of turnaround that Final Fantasy 7 did for Sony. FF7 was THE game who moves all major 3rd party franchises to the playstation platform. Now DQ10 will do the same thing.