Locked: Prediction: PS3 will sell 100 mln. by the end of 2012

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In next 4 years PS3 will sell on AVERAGE 20 mln. per year.

4-5 mln. per year in Japan. Total 16-20 mln. in next 4 years.

Japan is getting BIG games like FFXIII, FFXIII:versus, GT5. Also, Since 2009, almost every week there will be released new game on PS3 in Japan. There will be also more japanese oriented games, like RE5, SF4, Yakuza 3, Tekken 6, Bayonetta, LR, Ico 3, LP2 and etc. in next 4 years.

Also more affordable 29k yen price, and later 24k with 19k + SLIM PS3 version will do BIG effect on PS3 sales. Japanese WANT PS3, many PS3 games always hit most wanted list.

8-9 mln. per year in Europe. Total 32-36 mln. in next 4 years.

PS3 80GB still cost 400 euro in Europe, while it`s main competitor x360 60GB model bundled with 2 games(LIJ+KFP) cost only 200 euros.

In 2008 PS3 did around 5,5 mln. in Europe(Others) alone. Though, next year Europe still will have some effect of crisis, 300 euro price will do wonders. I expect 50% increase in sales or around 8 mln. already this year. With 200 euro price later, it will do more.

6-7 mln. per year in NA. Total 24-28 mln. in next 4 years.

With 400$ price PS3 did already 4 mln. in NA alone during 2008. 299$ price and incoming hits like KZ2, FFXIII, GT5 and MANY other PS3 exclusives will again help PS3 get BIG sales. Also, future 199$ price and SLIM version will increase sales by a lot. PS3 will be a PERFECT gaming machine and media center. It will have GREAT price, GREAT games, GREAT media features, GREAT quality and GREAT online features.

So far, PS3 is Tracking PSP sales - http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=PSP&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=GC&reg3=All&weeks=212 BUT it will do better, since PS3 will be getting BIG games and Pricecuts. =)

p.s. When you people expect PS3 to reach 100 mln. LTD sales? Do not underestimate PLAYSTATION BRAND. =)

Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.

Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.


1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

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Lol, keep dreaming Crazzyman. No way PS3 will even get close to 100 million. In two years it has barely sold 18 million.
I would say by 2012 PS3 to be around 65 million tops.

Like this?
"PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2008...."


PS3 will never reach 100 million sales. PS3 is not PS2 and it will not make a miraculous comeback.
Only console to sell over 100 million consoles this generation will be the market leader - Wii which will sell over 150 million consoles by the end of 2012.

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sunday_goes said:




great avatar from a great video for a great song.

I'm not really here!

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20 million per head is huge, i'll wait and see. What do you think the 360 will average in the next 4 years?

Gues they don`t call you CrazzyMan for nothing... keep dreaming,man.

Its Craaaazzzzzzyyyyyyy time!

The PS3 has sold 2.6m in Japan over its first THREE Xmas's - so suddenly its going to *triple* this install base in the next 12 months? I think not - that is an absurd average of 100k/week, every week - not a chance in hell.

Same in Europe - its sold 9m to date in 2 years, but will suddenly double this install base in the next 12 months? With 200k/week sales? Nope.

It should hit 100m... by 2100. Yes, I'm pretty confident of that... maybe.


So Cmon crazy - for your prediction to come true, the PS3 will have to do a MINIMUM of 300k/week worldwide for the next 12 months (and a good boost for Xmas) - you willing to take that bet?

I'm thinking 13-15m MAX next year for the PS3. Which is STILL a good result, and takes the PS3 to a respectable 32-35m by start of 2010. 360 be around 40m, Wii around 75m.

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This is a joke thread. Right?

If it isn't, you need your head examined.

If it is, it isn't funny.

Either way it is a complete failure as a thread.

Mln. does stand for million. Right?

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"There are like ten games a year that sell over a million units."  High Voltage CEO -  Eric Nofsinger