You know wareagle, it is that elitist attitude that really pisses me the hell off. So many fanboys are afraid of the changing stature of gaming, thinking themselves will die.

Let me give you a piece of advice. Your market will not die. I do not care what developes will go to or how they develop for they will still make hardcore games no matter what type of platform. Your market is not shrinking, the other one is expanding.

You also need to open your mind. So far, you mind is closed towards different types of gaming, but if you experience them, you might enjoy them and think it was a good choice after all.

Is this what Stage 3 is? Fear?

No, wareagle is still in state of denial, if he expect PS3 sales to go along with that graph.

Guess so. 

 My favorite way to look at it is did drama movies die when comedies and kids movies became prelavent?

Did novels die when comic books were started?

Did restaraunts go out of business ehen McDonalds opened?

All very horrible generalizations in their own by comparison to Wii and PS3/X360 but the point is obvious.

The reason why this bothers me more than anything else is that they assume the PS3 will suddenly start selling like the Wii has been in 2009 ... The PS3 to date has seen massive price reductions, the release of the biggest game of the generation, and the victory of Blu-Ray and is still selling at less than half the rate they expect it to in 2009 and 2010. Where is the justification?

In 2009 the PS3 will still probably be $300 or more, Blu-Ray will be far from a well adopted format, Wii third party support will be exploding, and we may be in the middle of the largest worldwide ecconomic downturn in over half a century; why is the PS3 going to take off in this climate? 

It's pretty much IMPOSSIBLE for us to be realistic in this thread. The analysts who came up with these figures are simply using data and market trends and any other factors they have to come up with these figures. It's based on assumptions, but I doubt these analysts are fanboys with an agenda.

We as gamers are nowhere near as realistic. Everyone in this thread favors one of the three consoles. Each one of us looks at this graph, and unless we see that our favorite console is going to wipe the floor with the other 2, we get steaming mad and start cherry picking any data we can to support our shit talking.

The only constant in the universe is CHANGE. It's funny that most of us expect the consoles to sell at exactly the same rate as now for the next few years(i.e. that the Wii will always sell like hotcakes and the PS3 will eventually pass the 360 near the end of this generation).

i kind of agree there, i have to say.

the PS3 looks to have a major spike a couple yrs from now.

Wow that has to be one of the most improbably scenarios ever. It's as if they finally understand that the Wii is going to sell beastly but their bias won't allow them to put it at first. So they pull some PS3 sales out of their ass to just barely beat the sales. Either one is going to run away with it or not. Two can't have beastly sales like that. Market jsut isn't big enough to support it nor would brandname allow it.

ps3 wil never sell more than the wii.

 And you base this on what? Please argue this and not with the whole "Well this game and that game will give such and such boost..."  If you can prove your position then fine, I'll listen.  I just hate half-arguements.