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NPD: PS4 2016 vs Switch 2019

Forums - Sales Discussion - NPD: PS4 2016 vs Switch 2019

How much more will Switch sell compared to PS4?

Switch will not outsell PS4 4 10.53%
 
500k-1 million 2 5.26%
 
1 million-1.5 million 8 21.05%
 
1.5 million-2 million 6 15.79%
 
2 million-2.5 million 5 13.16%
 
2.5 million-3 million 5 13.16%
 
Over 3 million 8 21.05%
 
Total:38
The_Liquid_Laser said:
I just noticed the PS4 slim and Switch Lite both released in their 3rd September. It will be interesting to see how the two compare when September sales numbers come in.

Kind of interesting how the improved Switch (staggered thru Aug) & Lite (Sept 20) both released in a 2 month window of each other just like PS4 Slim (Sept 15) & Pro (Nov 10) did back in 2016.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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September should add another 100k to the lead.



Pancho A. Ovies

Nintendo Switch in Japan (Famitsu): 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=238945&page=2

PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=239387

The_Liquid_Laser said:
I just noticed the PS4 slim and Switch Lite both released in their 3rd September. It will be interesting to see how the two compare when September sales numbers come in.

HA! lol I made a post after you without reading your comment and it was basically the same thing. That is shocking how coincidental that is!



zorg1000 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
I just noticed the PS4 slim and Switch Lite both released in their 3rd September. It will be interesting to see how the two compare when September sales numbers come in.

Kind of interesting how the improved Switch (staggered thru Aug) & Lite (Sept 20) both released in a 2 month window of each other just like PS4 Slim (Sept 15) & Pro (Nov 10) did back in 2016.

delete redundant post



zorg1000 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
I just noticed the PS4 slim and Switch Lite both released in their 3rd September. It will be interesting to see how the two compare when September sales numbers come in.

Kind of interesting how the improved Switch (staggered thru Aug) & Lite (Sept 20) both released in a 2 month window of each other just like PS4 Slim (Sept 15) & Pro (Nov 10) did back in 2016.

Did the improved Switch improve sales? I didn't think so looking at the numbers. They didn't even market it. I bet there are many more people that knew about the Wii U over the better battery Switch, and that is saying something. The PS4 pro, everyone and the mothers knew about. So those aren't really fairly comparable.



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Dulfite said:
zorg1000 said:

Kind of interesting how the improved Switch (staggered thru Aug) & Lite (Sept 20) both released in a 2 month window of each other just like PS4 Slim (Sept 15) & Pro (Nov 10) did back in 2016.

Did the improved Switch improve sales? I didn't think so looking at the numbers. They didn't even market it. I bet there are many more people that knew about the Wii U over the better battery Switch, and that is saying something. The PS4 pro, everyone and the mothers knew about. So those aren't really fairly comparable.

It did, at least in Japan.

From April 1-Aug 25 it averaged 42.5k/week.

The hybrid model has averaged 70k in the 4 weeks since the improved model launched.

As for the US, it's hard to tell but comparing the July to Aug drop from 2018 to 2019 might give us an idea.

July 2018-263k (Octopath #1, Captain Toad #14)

Aug 2018-203k (MH Generations #14)

July 2019-~250k (Fire Emblem #2, Marvel #4)

Aug 2019-~240k (Astral Chain #10)

Last year had a ~23k MoM drop while this year had a ~4% drop, and looking at YoY July was down ~5% while Aug was up ~18%.

Similar software performance from new titles so I think the MoM/YoY differences are due the improved model.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Dulfite said:

Did the improved Switch improve sales? I didn't think so looking at the numbers. They didn't even market it. I bet there are many more people that knew about the Wii U over the better battery Switch, and that is saying something. The PS4 pro, everyone and the mothers knew about. So those aren't really fairly comparable.

It did, at least in Japan.

From April 1-Aug 25 it averaged 42.5k/week.

The hybrid model has averaged 70k in the 4 weeks since the improved model launched.

As for the US, it's hard to tell but comparing the July to Aug drop from 2018 to 2019 might give us an idea.

July 2018-263k (Octopath #1, Captain Toad #14)

Aug 2018-203k (MH Generations #14)

July 2019-~250k (Fire Emblem #2, Marvel #4)

Aug 2019-~240k (Astral Chain #10)

Last year had a ~23k MoM drop while this year had a ~4% drop, and looking at YoY July was down ~5% while Aug was up ~18%.

Similar software performance from new titles so I think the MoM/YoY differences are due the improved model.

Astral Chain is no doubt a bigger system seller than MH Generations ( re release of a mostly Japanese only appealing series.



Dulfite said:
zorg1000 said:

It did, at least in Japan.

From April 1-Aug 25 it averaged 42.5k/week.

The hybrid model has averaged 70k in the 4 weeks since the improved model launched.

As for the US, it's hard to tell but comparing the July to Aug drop from 2018 to 2019 might give us an idea.

July 2018-263k (Octopath #1, Captain Toad #14)

Aug 2018-203k (MH Generations #14)

July 2019-~250k (Fire Emblem #2, Marvel #4)

Aug 2019-~240k (Astral Chain #10)

Last year had a ~23k MoM drop while this year had a ~4% drop, and looking at YoY July was down ~5% while Aug was up ~18%.

Similar software performance from new titles so I think the MoM/YoY differences are due the improved model.

Astral Chain is no doubt a bigger system seller than MH Generations ( re release of a mostly Japanese only appealing series.

Sure, but it's not nearly big enough to move that many units, especially since it only had 2 days of tracking.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Yeah Switch is doing better than i expected this year, in USA it will totally crush PS4 sales. September is an easy +400K month, probabily +500K.

Q4 will be easy up YOY compared to the 3.4M of 2018, and PS4 in 2016 only didn't even sold 3 million.



Updated the OP with September estimates from Era.