Quantcast
February NPD 2019 thread

Forums - Sales Discussion - February NPD 2019 thread

Amnesia said:
Why almost everyone are giving an estimation significantly higher than January for the Switch ? There are only 28 days but is this just because of the 35$ offer ?

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.



Around the Network
Nuvendil said:
Amnesia said:
Why almost everyone are giving an estimation significantly higher than January for the Switch ? There are only 28 days but is this just because of the 35$ offer ?

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.

Ok then it is 4 weeks for both January and February. But I still don't see why in average, people estimate +10-15% for Feb compared to Jan.



Current FY2018 prediction for ship. Switch : 17,83M

Current PB on Secret of Mana remake : 2h27 (World Record)
Strongest worldwide achievement on TGM : 1st European S13
Current PB on Power Ranger (Game Gear) : 10min06 (World Record)

Amnesia said:
Nuvendil said:

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.

Ok then it is 4 weeks for both January and February. But I still don't see why in average, people estimate +10-15% for Feb compared to Jan.

Well, like you said, 35$ Gift card; but also boosts from the direct videos. The 35$ Gift card was pushing the console very much both on Amazon and Gamestop, but it didn't push out of the charts the versions without the gift card, either. On Amazon for instance, all 3 SKU were selling faster than any PS4 or XBO SKU despite only one having a promotion.



Amnesia said:
Nuvendil said:

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.

Ok then it is 4 weeks for both January and February. But I still don't see why in average, people estimate +10-15% for Feb compared to Jan.

The gift card bundle actually has been trending strongly on all trackers.  February is also a stronger month generally, iirc.  And the Switch has been up  yoy weekly by a very significant percent, according to the Jan NPD.  And we've seen no cause to doubt that will continue.  



barneystinson69 said:
I've been away so long, I can't even make decent predictions anymore considering I barely know the landscape right now...

Wtf happened to me?

Not at this level, but this kinda happen to me as well... But i'll be back, that's a promise. Just time to solve some real life stuff.



Around the Network
Amnesia said:
Why almost everyone are giving an estimation significantly higher than January for the Switch ? There are only 28 days but is this just because of the 35$ offer ?

February is the third strongest month, right after the two holiday months. It is almost always up from January(plus we get our tax returns this month). 



Amnesia said:
Nuvendil said:

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.

Ok then it is 4 weeks for both January and February. But I still don't see why in average, people estimate +10-15% for Feb compared to Jan.

History, February is a stronger month than January.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

NSW 360K
PS4 180K
XB1 180K



Amnesia said:
Nuvendil said:

NPD tracks by weeks not days.  Just so you know.

Ok then it is 4 weeks for both January and February. But I still don't see why in average, people estimate +10-15% for Feb compared to Jan.

The PS4 and XBO have averaged 70% higher sales in February than in January so far. That's why. People start getting their tax returns, and spend them on big ticket items like game consoles. There are rare occasions where January is as big as February, but the norm is for January to be by far the weakest month of Q1.



Switch: 350k
Ps4: 240k
Xb1: 150k