I think there are two big reasons the Vita failed to gain traction.  One, Sony went with their own memory cards, instead of the industry standard SDs, which meant the consumer had to pay a lot more for the same amount of memory.  Two, which is the more important of the two, Nintendo dropped their price by a staggering $80 just a few months after launch, mainly due to lowering sales and as a reaction to the upcoming Vita release.  Had Sony stuck with the cheaper SDs and had to go against a 3DS that was $249 for at least a year, there is no doubt in my mind that it would have been a close race.

Lol this is officially worse than my prediction of switch being around 75-80M by the time the NS2 comes around.

So the NS will sell abut 2.5M+ less in its 3rd year than it did in its second???

Already corrected a few posts laster

But who's the king of video games?

There are quite a few thins abut the whole storage issue.

First starting with RAM.... I am expecting them to have 20GB-24GB of RAM. Be that one pool of 20GB-24GB of GDDR6 RAM or 16GB of GDDR6 exclusively for games and 4GB-8GB of LPDDR4 RAM for the OS and secondary apps. So basically whichever is cheaper to implement. 

Now with storage.... you kinda need something a lot faster than a HDD when dealing with games that natively are built around a pool of around 16GB of RAM. That is over 3 times more RAM than the PS4/XB1 used for their games. Now granted there are multiple ways this can be approached; they could ship every console with a 128GB/256GB nand storage embedded on the PCB and still have a 2TB HDD.  Or they could just ship every console with a 1TB SSD which will probably as you pointed out cost them more than a conventional HDD. Though I don't think it will be $30 more. More like $20 more.

So it comes down to which is cheaper..... it may actually be cheaper to put 240GB SSD on the PCB + 1TB HDD than it is to  go with a 1TB SSD. Use 200GB of that embedded storage as some sort f smart cache for gaming and then over the years as SSD pricing gets lower just phase out the HDD. 

I dont know much about this stuff but what would a console like you're proposing cost? And how big of a jump would it be over PS4 Pro/XB1X?

Someone else might find the figure but I'm sure that both 3DS and Wii peaked in their second year, so I'm just assuming it will happen again.

Funny picture though :)

Oh I see I didn't go through the thread.

But yes reading the article they said it would take a long time to recoup the cost of RND into the PS3. As well as the money lost for each sale as they are sold at a loss. But this was 2008. The PS3 slim and super slim came in. They sold millions and milllions of software especially 2009 and onwards and by the time the PS3 came 5 years after that article I'm sure they ended up making money and it was a successful product. They sold almost 87 million of the things.

I'm glad you finding so much wrong with my post but let me explain. About the GPU.

First a 40CU (xbox one X SOC) clocked at 1800mhz on 7nm transistors will probably pull about 200w we need to get that number down to 100-120W. Looking at Vega for both 14nm/7nm, the chinese console and amds own apu with just 11CU at 210mm2 die I just can't get the math to support a gpu that has more than 9TF. Just looking at Vega VII with 338mm2 die at 7nm having just 60CU we can conclude it's very unlikely we will see more than 60CU on PS5. And based on towshardware vega 56 review on how much power this card pull at varies clock-speed my conclusion is that PS5 will have about 56CU clocked at 1200-1300 MHZ. Which is actually pretty close to what you wrote.

RAM and Storage:

There's two reason I believe we will see 12 GB ram and not the common-sense prediction of 16 or 24 GB of ram. The first is prices of GDDR6 seems a good amount higher than Gddr5 and second there won't be any need for more Ram anyways because PS5 will use AMDs High-bandwidth cache controller (HBCC) which will make the ram usage much more efficient.

Because of HBCC next-gen consoles will go 1TB NVME ssd drives which is needed to use HBCC, now I seen some people thinking the price to high, but right now looking at Newegg 1TB NVMe cost between 155-180$ (I'm assuming Sony buys this stuff half the retail price) and those are high quality NVMe SSDs (intel 660p, HP EX920 and Corsair Force MP300). Prices are also predicted to drop between 20-50% this year and will likely drop a good amount during next-gen because of very high competition making 1TB NVMe ssd drive an excellent choice.

The switch isn’t the wii, and it especially isn’t the 3ds