Switch had pokemon and the biggest smash ever. There's a reason they didn't need deals. 

Again. If ps4 was portable it would have sold a hell of a lot more. It's the top selling traditional home console in Japan and imo nobody could beat them there again. The Wii U failed miserably and the xbox...

20 million is in the bag and I think it will at least catch the PS2. So at minimum, the 4 best selling video game systems of all time are all Nintendo systems. From the looks of the quickly declining 3DS, it's not going to do much more than it is now. The best Nintendo should hope for at this point is for the 3DS to scratch and claw its way to 25 million units sold, but that'll be it. Now, will the Switch be able to reach that? It's too early to tell. It's falling further and further behind the 3DS as we speak when we align them both from launch to now. However, what the Switch will have going for it in the future is that the 3DS peaked very early. It's best selling year in Japan was 2012 with just barely under 5.5 million. Followed by 2013 with a little over 5 million. But then in 2014 its sales dropped like a rock right down to around 3.2 million. By 2016, it was under 2 million a year in Japan.

Obviously, we don't know yet how exactly the Switch's legs will be, but I will say I think it has more going for it than the 3DS had back then simply because by the end of 2012, the 3DS had already had an $80 price cut down to $169.99 MSRP and a hardware revision, the Nintendo 3DS XL, giving it 2 systems with prices at $170 and $200, respectively. Meanwhile, the Switch has neither a price cut or a hardware revision. It's still selling at its $300 price with its two biggest powerhouses on their way. With those two games, plus the influx of new games slated for this year that Japanese gamers will jump on (Luigi's Mansion 3, Fire Emblem: Three Houses, Dragon Quest XI S), I think that should bring the Switch to 4 million even without a price cut or hardware revision. WITH one, and I think it'll be closer to 5 million than 4 million for 2019.

Nah ps4 is a profit making machine on a global basis. They were right to do what they did. If they cared for Japan a Switch like device was the way to go. They cared just not enough. Maybe the ps5 will get a portable sku that streams games to it. 

Reading stuff like this always makes me excited to see Switch's future. Obviously the popular view is that it will be a little shy of the 3DS, but still, the fact that we don't know for sure is so refreshing

I also think that Switch will do 20m+ in Japan, but we dont know how much strong Switch sales can really be in Japan. Switch sales in Japan will really explode when Switch get price point thats more closer to handheld price point (not more than $200) and only than will Switch start selling like device per person instead current device per family like currently Switch is selling, Switch because its current price point is more selling like home console (device per family).

You mean the VITA?

Congrats, at a much faster rate than a console like PS4 but slower than handhelds like 3DS.

The good pace and SW sales in Japan for Switch will give it a very nice WW LT.

No I mean their main console as a portable. A console that gets all their support. Which wasn't the Vita. And the Vita was a traditional handheld. That market is almost dead. 

My VITA can stream all PS4 games though.  It already had full streaming support on all their PS4 games, and had VITA games on top of it.  If the new model only streamed games, wouldn't that be a step back?