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In progress NPD predicting tool

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Hardware revision shares (Feb 19):

PS4:

Slim: 84*0.8+185*02+40= 144.2
Pro: 23*08+180*0.2+0= 54.4

Slim/Pro ratio: 72.6/27.4%

Xbox One:

S: 31*0.8+ 140*0.2+0= 52.8
X: 0+150*0.2+78+20= 128

S/X ratio: 29.2/70.8%

Slim+S 197/Pro+X 182.4

Total ratio: 51.9%/48.1%

S and Slim are practically not moving at all, neither does the Pro. Almost all changes from today stem from the X rising at Gamestop again.



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globalisateur said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Also, those drops in sales the last couple days on PlayStation and Xbox side. Looks like the Switch is trying to outsell both combined this month

Well a $35 price cut will always help.

Even without that 35$ gift card the Switch was almost leading 2:1 this month, the card only managed to push it over the line instead of juuust below.



Seems like so far, Switch might breeze through the early season. Although, we have yet to see results for January NPD.



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Symbios63 said:
January Summaries :

Overall : 1) NS : 419.7 points/day (1.00) ; 2) PS4 : 320.9 points/day (0.76) ; 3) XBO : 43.7 points/day (0.10)

With the results released:

NS: 284k (1.00)
PS4: 195k (0.69)
XBO: 101k (0.36)

Another win for the tool predicting the rankings and the NS/PS4 ratio, although XBO is still weirdly underrepresented at online retailers.



Tool really is doing well uh. So Switch should do pretty well in February as well.



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StarDoor said:

Symbios63 said:
January Summaries :

Overall : 1) NS : 419.7 points/day (1.00) ; 2) PS4 : 320.9 points/day (0.76) ; 3) XBO : 43.7 points/day (0.10)

With the results released:

NS: 284k (1.00)
PS4: 195k (0.69)
XBO: 101k (0.36)

Another win for the tool predicting the rankings and the NS/PS4 ratio, although XBO is still weirdly underrepresented at online retailers.

Does anyone know how is the difference between the three companies own stores in US?  Like, how many stores each company has spread around the country?



StarDoor said:

Symbios63 said:
January Summaries :

Overall : 1) NS : 419.7 points/day (1.00) ; 2) PS4 : 320.9 points/day (0.76) ; 3) XBO : 43.7 points/day (0.10)

With the results released:

NS: 284k (1.00)
PS4: 195k (0.69)
XBO: 101k (0.36)

Another win for the tool predicting the rankings and the NS/PS4 ratio, although XBO is still weirdly underrepresented at online retailers.

They were in the sub-100s because of the holiday promotion and only at the end of the month sales normalized. It was expected that this would result in being undertracked since the console was simply nor charting most of the time.

For the PS4, pretty much on track with the tool, even being slightly lower than it predicted. It that stays true in February... then ho boy, Nintendo trashing it's competition incoming



Another victory for the tool (in non-holiday months at least) Congrats !



Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Tool holding very well! Switch looking great.....PS4 steady and XB1.......sad sad smh. This tool is awesome!



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

Bofferbrauer2 said:
Hardware revision shares (Feb 19):

PS4:

Slim: 84*0.8+185*02+40= 144.2
Pro: 23*08+180*0.2+0= 54.4

Slim/Pro ratio: 72.6/27.4%

Xbox One:

S: 31*0.8+ 140*0.2+0= 52.8
X: 0+150*0.2+78+20= 128

S/X ratio: 29.2/70.8%

Slim+S 197/Pro+X 182.4

Total ratio: 51.9%/48.1%

S and Slim are practically not moving at all, neither does the Pro. Almost all changes from today stem from the X rising at Gamestop again.

All of your ratio posts look very interesting to me.  Especially since PS4 is mostly selling its base (slim) model, while XB1 is mostly selling the X model.  Looks like Microsoft made the right call making the X more powerful than the PS4 Pro.  Most of the people who want a premium console are going for the absolutely highest specs (XB1X).  Meanwhile, the people buying the cheaper models are going for the better game library which is obviously PS4.