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In progress NPD predicting tool

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Xbox has some life in it actually.



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Damn XBO has had a terrible month. Probably going to sell under 150k.



 

Symbios63 said:
01/31/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 15 (+1) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 34 (-) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 38 (+1) - 299.95$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 59 (+11) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 85 (+3) - 319.99$
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 100 (-3) - 236.98$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 97 (-1) - 229.99$

PS4 : 76 + 42 + 16 = 134 points (+16) ; XBO : 1 points (-3) ; NS : 140 + 84 = 224 points (+5)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 4 (-2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (+4) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 9 (+6) - 399.99$
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 12 (+37) - 299.99$
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 13 (-) - 249.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 20 (+72) - 449.99$
7 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 22 (R) - 449.99$
8 (R) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 66 (R) - 449.99$
9 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 77 (R) - 249.99$

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 175 + 170 = 345 points (+50) ; XBO : 155 + 115 + 108 + 35 + 24 = 437 points (+374) ; NS : 195 + 150 = 345 points (-10)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 51 (+4)
2 (+2) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 117 (+10)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 131 (-12)
4 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 160 (+3)
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 161 (R)

Out of Top 100 :

2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 109 (-5)

PS4 : 42 + 21 = 63 points (-39) ; XBO : 20 point (+20) ; NS : 100 + 35 = 135 points (-2)

Overall :

1 - NS : 383.2 points (-) ; Month Average : 421.3 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 267.2 points (-16.2) ; Month Average : 324.6 points/day ; 0.77 (-0.01)
3 - XBO : 140.7 points (+120.2) ; Month Average : 37.9 points/day ; 0.09 (+0.02)

XB1 Fortnite bundle is at $249 at best buy. There is a $50 price cut on all XB1 models at best buy and gamestop and probably elsewhere. MS started the 2019 promotions.



02/01/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 14 (+1) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 28 (+6) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 35 (+3) - 299.95$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 63 (-4) - 399.99$
5 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 81 (+4) - 319.99$
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 95 (R) - 229.99$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 100 (-3) - 236.98$

PS4 : 82 + 38 + 20 = 140 points (+6) ; XBO : 6 points (+5) ; NS : 145 + 96 = 241 points (+17)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (+2) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 8 (-) - 299.99$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 9 (-) - 399.99$
4 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (+3) - 299.99$
5 (-1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 19 (-7) - 249.99$
6 (+1) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 24 (-2) - 449.99$
7 (-1) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 25 (-5) - 449.99$
8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 100 (-34) - 449.99$

Out of Top 100 :

9 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 77 (R) - 249.99$

PS4 : 175 + 170 = 345 points (-) ; XBO : 120 + 104 + 102 + 1 = 327 points (-110) ; NS : 205 + 165 = 365 points (+20)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 44 (+7)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 126 (-9)
3 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 144 (-13)
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 154 (+6)
5 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 173 (-12)

Out of Top 100 :

2 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1 Tb CoD: BO4 Bundle - 109 (-5)

PS4 : 38 + 24 = 62 points (-1) ; XBO : 14 point (-6) ; NS : 108 + 29 = 137 points (+2)

Overall :

1 - NS : 402.8 points (+19.6) ; Month Average : 420.7 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 271.0 points (+3.8) ; Month Average : 322.7 points/day ; 0.77 (-)
3 - XBO : 109.5 points (-31.2) ; Month Average : 40.6 points/day ; 0.10 (+0.01)



Like discussed a couple days ago, I'll check here how much the different versions of the consoles are selling. So without further ado:

Hardware revision shares:

PS4:

Slim: 20+82+175+24=301 55%
Pro: 38+170+38=246 45%

Xbox One:

S: 6+120+14=140 40.4%
X: 104+102+1=207 59.6%

Slim+S 441/Pro+X 453 49.3%/50.7%

It looks like the mid-gen upgrade is now making up about half of the sales of PS4 and XBO combined, with the Pro still a bit below the Slim, but the X selling considerably better than the S. Let's see if this will be a trend or just a result for today with no connection to the general trend.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 02 February 2019

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Bofferbrauer2 said:

Like discussed a couple days ago, I'll check here how much the different versions of the consoles are selling. So without further ado:

Hardware revision shares:

PS4:

Slim: 20+82+175+24=301 55%
Pro: 38+170+38=246 45%

Xbox One:

S: 6+120+14=140 40.4%
X: 104+102+1=207 59.6%

Slim+S 441/Pro+X 453 49.3%/50.7%

It looks like the mid-gen upgrade is now making up about half of the sales of PS4 and XBO combined, with the Pro still a bit below the Slim, but the X selling considerably better than the S. Let's see if this will be a trend or just a result for today with no connection to the general trend.

During the holidays both the XBO and PS4 were up YOY revenue wise even though sales were down by a lot. The holidays are known for people going with the cheaper model so XBO and PS4 having 45-60% of sales coming from the premium model in January makes a lot of sense.



jason1637 said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Like discussed a couple days ago, I'll check here how much the different versions of the consoles are selling. So without further ado:

Hardware revision shares:

PS4:

Slim: 20+82+175+24=301 55%
Pro: 38+170+38=246 45%

Xbox One:

S: 6+120+14=140 40.4%
X: 104+102+1=207 59.6%

Slim+S 441/Pro+X 453 49.3%/50.7%

It looks like the mid-gen upgrade is now making up about half of the sales of PS4 and XBO combined, with the Pro still a bit below the Slim, but the X selling considerably better than the S. Let's see if this will be a trend or just a result for today with no connection to the general trend.

During the holidays both the XBO and PS4 were up YOY revenue wise even though sales were down by a lot. The holidays are known for people going with the cheaper model so XBO and PS4 having 45-60% of sales coming from the premium model in January makes a lot of sense.

I agree.

The question is though, will this just be for January or will we have a similar ratio throughout the year? Hence why I'll do this every day on Symbios' numbers and see where the ratio is going to and at what speed



Bofferbrauer2 said:

Like discussed a couple days ago, I'll check here how much the different versions of the consoles are selling. So without further ado:

Hardware revision shares:

PS4:

Slim: 20+82+175+24=301 55%
Pro: 38+170+38=246 45%

Xbox One:

S: 6+120+14=140 40.4%
X: 104+102+1=207 59.6%

Slim+S 441/Pro+X 453 49.3%/50.7%

It looks like the mid-gen upgrade is now making up about half of the sales of PS4 and XBO combined, with the Pro still a bit below the Slim, but the X selling considerably better than the S. Let's see if this will be a trend or just a result for today with no connection to the general trend.

Thank you! I wanted to do this for a long time but I´m just too lazy.



02/03/19 :


- Amazon :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 21 (-7) - 298.99$
2 (-) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 33 (-5) - 299.00$
3 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 41 (-6) - 299.95$
4 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 66 (-3) - 399.99$
5 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Spiderman - 87 (-6) - 319.99$
6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Battlefield V - 98 (R) - 236.98$

Out of Top 100 :

6 (R) - XBox One S 1Tb Minecraft - 95 (R) - 229.99$

PS4 : 70 + 35 + 14 = 119 points (-21) ; XBO : 3 points (-3) ; NS : 110 + 86 = 196 points (-45)


- Best Buy :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 2 (-) - 299.99$
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 6 (+2) - 299.99$
3 (+1) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 10 (-) - 299.99$
4 (-1) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 11 (-2) - 399.99$
5 (-) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 18 (+1) - 299.99$
6 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Fallout 76 - 46 (-22) - 399.99$
7 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb Battlefield 5 - 47 (-22) - 499.99$

Out of Top 100 :

8 (-) - XBox One X 1Tb NBA 2K19 - 100 (-34) - 449.99$

PS4 : 185 + 160 = 345 points (-) ; XBO : 125 + 60 + 58 = 243 points (-84) ; NS : 205 + 165 = 365 points (-)


- Gamestop :

1 (-) - Nintendo Switch Neon - 43 (+1)
2 (-) - Playstation 4 Pro 1Tb Black - 90 (+36)
3 (+1) - Playstation 4 Slim 1Tb Black - 132 (+22)
4 (+1) - XBox One S 1Tb Fortnite - 134 (+39)
5 (-2) - Nintendo Switch Grey - 145 (-1)

Out of Top 100 :

-

PS4 : 62 + 35 = 97 points (+35) ; XBO : 34 point (+20) ; NS : 108 + 28 = 136 points (-1)

Overall :

1 - NS : 365.8 points (-37.0) ; Month Average : 417.8 points/day ; 1.0
2 - PS4 : 289.2 points (+18.2) ; Month Average : 319.8 points/day ; 0.77 (-)
3 - XBO : 110.5 points (+1.0) ; Month Average : 46.0 points/day ; 0.11 (+0.01)


When is "NPD January" ending ?



Symbios63 said:

When is "NPD January" ending ?

It ended yesterday.