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Forums - Sony Discussion - PS5 Will Release Early 2019 (Opinion)

GribbleGrunger said:

I believe Sony have played their hand perfectly with the PS4pro. What I think they did was force Microsoft's hand so they had to react much sooner than they wanted. Sony carefully 'under-promoted' the Pro to make sure only those in the know would rush out to buy one initially, knowing full well that MS would seize upon this and heavily promote the Scorpio, cementing it in the minds of a much larger audience. 

But why would they do that? I've always said that Sony play chess while Microsoft play poker, and this is a perfect example. There HAS to be a cooling off period between the release of a mid gen upgrade and the release of a brand new generation, otherwise a lot of people will feel slighted. Given that Sony have cleverly positioned the Pro as an upgrade while Microsoft have pushed the Scorpio as a huge leap over the Pro, Sony are sitting in a less vulnerable position, rather like Nintendo has, which has clearly worked for them. It's a slightly different scenario but I haven't seen many people complaining that they bought the Wiiu for certain games only to have those games held back and release on the Switch to give it sales merit. Why? Because they cut and ran, which was the perfect thing to do. Enough time had past for people to forget and move on. This of course meant Nintendo had to be VERY confident in their new console. They obviously had the right to feel that confident. Just look at the sales.

This leaves Sony in prime position with plenty of wiggle room concerning Microsoft's inevitable next gen console. There is no way Microsoft can release a next gen console only one year and six months after the Scorpio, unless they're willing to risk a huge backlash from a lot of their fans. However, Sony CAN risk releasing another console two and a half years after the Pro. They'll certainly get some backlash but nothing like Microsoft. This is why I feel Sony will bring the launch day forward and give themselves as long as they can to gain a substantial lead before Microsoft actually launch their next console. 

IF Sony can offer 4K at 60fps on every single forward conpatible game and the majority of exclusive PS5 games then the 'power' agrument is almost impossible to express to the average Joe. Right now it's a simple matter of promoting measurable and visible differences because stepping up from 30fps to 60fps and 1080p to 4K (the games that will be used to promote both consoles, MS having the advantage here) is much easier to promote to the masses. I am absolutely certain that next gen consoles will NOT be promoted with 8K and 120fps so that leaves NO metric to differentiate other than subtle things that are very difficult to express in screenshots or videos. So therefore next gen will be fought even footedly, leaving Sony with the advantage of releasing first. 

 

 

2020



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Im so freaking ready, I am really looking forward to the 1X.

I hope for 2019, but I think it will be more 2020 for costs to come down a bit more in order to deliver as much power as possible for keeping the price down to under $500 or $400



 

GribbleGrunger said:

I believe Sony have played their hand perfectly with the PS4pro. What I think they did was force Microsoft's hand so they had to react much sooner than they wanted. Sony carefully 'under-promoted' the Pro to make sure only those in the know would rush out to buy one initially, knowing full well that MS would seize upon this and heavily promote the Scorpio, cementing it in the minds of a much larger audience. 

But why would they do that? I've always said that Sony play chess while Microsoft play poker, and this is a perfect example. There HAS to be a cooling off period between the release of a mid gen upgrade and the release of a brand new generation, otherwise a lot of people will feel slighted. Given that Sony have cleverly positioned the Pro as an upgrade while Microsoft have pushed the Scorpio as a huge leap over the Pro, Sony are sitting in a less vulnerable position, rather like Nintendo has, which has clearly worked for them. It's a slightly different scenario but I haven't seen many people complaining that they bought the Wiiu for certain games only to have those games held back and release on the Switch to give it sales merit. Why? Because they cut and ran, which was the perfect thing to do. Enough time had past for people to forget and move on. This of course meant Nintendo had to be VERY confident in their new console. They obviously had the right to feel that confident. Just look at the sales.

This leaves Sony in prime position with plenty of wiggle room concerning Microsoft's inevitable next gen console. There is no way Microsoft can release a next gen console only one year and six months after the Scorpio, unless they're willing to risk a huge backlash from a lot of their fans. However, Sony CAN risk releasing another console two and a half years after the Pro. They'll certainly get some backlash but nothing like Microsoft. This is why I feel Sony will bring the launch day forward and give themselves as long as they can to gain a substantial lead before Microsoft actually launch their next console. 

IF Sony can offer 4K at 60fps on every single forward conpatible game and the majority of exclusive PS5 games then the 'power' agrument is almost impossible to express to the average Joe. Right now it's a simple matter of promoting measurable and visible differences because stepping up from 30fps to 60fps and 1080p to 4K (the games that will be used to promote both consoles, MS having the advantage here) is much easier to promote to the masses. I am absolutely certain that next gen consoles will NOT be promoted with 8K and 120fps so that leaves NO metric to differentiate other than subtle things that are very difficult to express in screenshots or videos. So therefore next gen will be fought even footedly, leaving Sony with the advantage of releasing first. 

 

 

Sont couldn't promote the PRO because of the scorpio. They would have egg on their faces if they did. 



X1Gates said:

Sony couldn't promote the PRO because of the scorpio. They would have egg on their faces if they did. 

How so? It's 4K v 4k. You are making the mistake lots of people make on the internet. You think WE represent the 'majority'. We don't. 



 

The PS5 Exists. 


Holliday season of 2019, that's when we are going to see the PS5.




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X1Gates said:
GribbleGrunger said:

I believe Sony have played their hand perfectly with the PS4pro. What I think they did was force Microsoft's hand so they had to react much sooner than they wanted. Sony carefully 'under-promoted' the Pro to make sure only those in the know would rush out to buy one initially, knowing full well that MS would seize upon this and heavily promote the Scorpio, cementing it in the minds of a much larger audience. 

But why would they do that? I've always said that Sony play chess while Microsoft play poker, and this is a perfect example. There HAS to be a cooling off period between the release of a mid gen upgrade and the release of a brand new generation, otherwise a lot of people will feel slighted. Given that Sony have cleverly positioned the Pro as an upgrade while Microsoft have pushed the Scorpio as a huge leap over the Pro, Sony are sitting in a less vulnerable position, rather like Nintendo has, which has clearly worked for them. It's a slightly different scenario but I haven't seen many people complaining that they bought the Wiiu for certain games only to have those games held back and release on the Switch to give it sales merit. Why? Because they cut and ran, which was the perfect thing to do. Enough time had past for people to forget and move on. This of course meant Nintendo had to be VERY confident in their new console. They obviously had the right to feel that confident. Just look at the sales.

This leaves Sony in prime position with plenty of wiggle room concerning Microsoft's inevitable next gen console. There is no way Microsoft can release a next gen console only one year and six months after the Scorpio, unless they're willing to risk a huge backlash from a lot of their fans. However, Sony CAN risk releasing another console two and a half years after the Pro. They'll certainly get some backlash but nothing like Microsoft. This is why I feel Sony will bring the launch day forward and give themselves as long as they can to gain a substantial lead before Microsoft actually launch their next console. 

Sont couldn't promote the PRO because of the scorpio. They would have egg on their faces if they did. 

I tend to think that Neo was a "reaction" to Scorpio. It's hard to say how it went exactly, but that's how I see it for the most part. I think there was some truth to PS trying to stop players from going to PC, but I don't think that was the main point. So far, XB has basically been on a 4 year cycle, and I wouldn't doubt that PS anticipated a new XB come fall 2017. They just wouldn't know what that box would be exactly. What they did know, was that having a lead is almost always the better decision, especially if you have the goodwill and market share at the time, and waiting 5 or 6 years to launch PS5 with no mid gen upgrade, was going to leave the door open for XB to get back in the game with a more capable machine.

I get the feeling that the Neo version they decided to launch was the hybrid that they planned on initially. A console that could be a 1080p/60 machine if that's what Scorpio turned out to be, or a checkerboard 4k machine if Scorpio went after 4k. Since the other Neo (full 4k?) would have required newer hardware and probably would've meant a mid to late 2017 launch, that wouldn't fit their 6 year full gen plan, so going with the Pro as we know it, made the most sense. Not only that, but by going with the Pro that we have, with a late 2016 launch, meant XB would be put in a tough position if a PS4 Premium or PS5 launched late 2019. How early dare XB launch again after Scorpio?

I think PS keeping the Pro quiet made sense in terms of a mid gen console. New gen, have a parade. Mid gen, needs nothing more than a minor introduction. PS also didn't want to make too big of a deal out of it, because they knew they were going to have the weaker box, and didn't want to make it easy for XB to use that against them. Pretending like mid gen wasn't that big of a deal, may have hurt Pro sales somewhat, but it also more than likely, took a lot of hype away from the Scorpio as well. You could even say PS potentially "sacrificed" Pro in a way, to try and take as much hype out of Scorpio as possible, since MS had decided to go mid gen as well, and not next gen. Why not "sacrifice" Pro? If it works and it really hurts XB1X sales, then who cares? The PS4 is the money making machine and the customers who want more performance, will buy the Pro anyway if they like the PS ecosystem, whether it's hyped or not. As long as you make sure the casuals still stick with the base models, which is the majority of the customers, PS4 will continue it's steamrolling.

Overall, I agree with this. I think PS made their mid gen Pro decision based on the long game, not just the here and now. While I think PS won't rush the PS5 launch, I do think that XB could launch sooner than we anticipate, if the X ends up a failure. If X does good or great, then XB will almost be forced to wait another 3 or 4 years before they can launch another upgrade, which would give PS5 a nice lead going into next gen. It's a game of wait and see right now.



GribbleGrunger said:
X1Gates said:

Sony couldn't promote the PRO because of the scorpio. They would have egg on their faces if they did. 

How so? It's 4K v 4k. You are making the mistake lots of people make on the internet. You think WE represent the 'majority'. We don't. 

sorry it's TrueK vs 1400p



X1Gates said:
GribbleGrunger said:

How so? It's 4K v 4k. You are making the mistake lots of people make on the internet. You think WE represent the 'majority'. We don't. 

sorry it's TrueK vs 1400p

Do I really have to explain it again? Read it a few times. And the Pro has lots of native 4K games as the X1X will have plenty of checkerboard games. 



 

The PS5 Exists. 


VideoGameAccountant said:
ShadowSoldier said:

I want to co-sign this post. With the jumps on visuals getting shorter  and shorter the time between gens should be getting longer. Performance matters more than graphical fidelity at this point. And to be honest this gen has just started to get going. I imagine we wont see PS5 until 2022 at the earliest.

I disagree. Generations are going to get shorter, not longer, thanks to a major system everyone in this thread is pretending doesn't exist: the PC.

Look at it this way. Let's say I care about graphics and performance. Should I get the PS4 Pro? Or should I get "the most powerful console ever," the XBox One X. How about, instead, I just build a PC. With a PC, I can build a system that runs 4K at 60 FPS. Sure, right now you might spend more to build this PC, but prices on parts go down quickly, and it wont be long before you can build a PC that outdoes the Pro for less than what Sony is selling the Pro for. By 2022, as you suggested, you'd get a far better PC for cheaper. In Febuary of 2017, Logical Incriments had a build for $415 that would be about as good as the PS4 Pro. They also provided a system that was better than the PS4 Pro for $550. By 2019, that $550 build could easily be cheaper than a Pro. Sure, Sony can drop the price, but if performance is a big selling point already, then why not spend a bit more and get more. Keep in mind that PCs are also cheaper to upgrade as oppose to buying a new system.

With Sony and Microsoft going the route of power and performance, they will have to compete with the PC. Even back in 2013, not every game was coming to the PC or the PC would have the worst version. Now, almost every game that isn't first party will come to the PC and the PC will be the best versions. Developers are already complaining that the consoles are holding them back. Unlike Nintendo, Sony and Microsoft don't have a strong portfolio of IPs that can draw customers in. They are highly reliant on 3rd parties to provide the software for their systems. 

Sony is at risk of having their market being absorbed by PC. By focusing on power, customers may make the jump to PC as the PC offer a better library (including previous generation games) and offers better performance. If Playstation's hook is "Our games look the best," then consumers will go to where they do look the best: PC. This is partly why the Pro exist in the first place. Sony needs to compete with PC, where better parts keep coming out older parts get cheaper, and the half-step with the Pro is how they do it. The PS5 will likely be a another half-step to complete with the PCs you can build then. Again, by the time 2022 rolls around, the PS4 Pro will be a joke in terms of performance. Sony will have to compete with the constant incrimental improvements that are seen in the PC world. The half-steps are how they do it. Expect the generations (for Sony at least) to move in tandum with PC parts. Expect the generations to be shorter. 

 

Just need to correct several points you made. First $/performance for PC has barely dropped since 2014. That year you could buy a geforce 970 for about 300$. Today you can buy the cheapest radeon 580 on newegg for 250$ and that gpu is about 15% faster according to the site techpowerup. Then consider Ram to your motherboard has more than double in price since the last 2 years. So $/performance is at a standstill. And is barely dropping whatsoever.

 

Point you made about logical incriments is just BS. First he assumed you can buy radeon 470 for 155$. Well I just checked newegg for 570 (470 don't exist anylonger but 570 is the same gpu) it cheapest cost 230$. Than 8 gb ddr4 ram is the cheapest I found on newegg for 83$ when your site assumed 41$. Your site also skipped mouse+keyboard and OS. That is another 150$ if you doing a fair comparison. Also most people don't know how to build so you need another 70$ for that.

So your point about buying a ps4 pro experience on PC went from 415$ to 752$. Another issue with all this pc compared to console is it only applies to US as components for PC is cheaper there than rest of the world while consoles has about the same price everywhere.

 

You made some additional points in other posts but I'm to lazy to quote. "Like Nintendo switch is good enough as a console because it got Doom and Wolfenstein also that Nintendo switch being a big threat to Sony". NO nintendo switch is not good enough as a console. It actually doing worse than wii U. Wii U had several AAA games more than nintendo switch had by now and it died. Doom and wolfenstein 2 are 60 fps games on console and that is the only reason it can be ported over to the switch for 30 fps experience + nintendo probably paying Bethesda a ton of money. But why would anyone buy those games on the switch? So you can play on the go? Why would anyone pay 60$ for a game to play on a 6 inch screen? When you can play on 50 inch TV with a proper controller.

 

I agree with you about ps5 being released 2019. Sony probably views PC as an indirect competitor but not as an direct competitor. Nintendo switch is not a competitor whatsoever in my view, Ps4 and xbox is both cheaper and has a ton of more games. Nintendo switch is more of an supplement for ps4 and xbox owners. But PC are an indirect competitor so Sony want to make sure that the best PC experience is small compared to their console so I will assume an 2019 release. Because everything is ready that year. GDDR6, 7nm node, Ryzen cpu and Navi gpu.



6x master league achiever in starcraft2

Beaten Sigrun on God of war mode

Beaten DOOM ultra-nightmare with NO endless ammo-rune, 2x super shotgun and no decoys on ps4 pro.

1-0 against Grubby in Wc3 frozen throne ladder!!

shikamaru317 said:
I'd say Holiday 2019.

Early 2019, holiday 2019, you could both be correct but the chances it will be 2019 are deffenitely there, sony will want to retake the performance crown and sell more consoles, since they make a profit of them and people will continue to play and buy on the ps4 while the ps5 is being introduced, its going to be good times for them if they release in 2019 cuz xbox will need to keep supporting the one X for at least another year at that point.

But we will see, it will be nice to replace my launch ps4 for the ps5 when it arrives :) as long as it has a disc drive, il buy it.




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