This is a comparison of all 3 consoles in their first 4 months. Wii U sold 3.45 million units, while the Switch destroyed it with 4.7 million. And this is with Wii U having the "holiday" advantage. On the other hand, the original Wii bested the Switch with 5.84 million units. An impressive accomplishment indeed. So the Switch does not appear to be on track to match Wii. However, let us analize the situations.
Both were in shortage situations, artificially manufactured shortages or not. Both were somewhat similarly priced if you adjust for inflation. However, I would put Switch at a bit more expensive considering no game came with it and a pro controller costs more.
Wii was released late in the year. Switch did not have that advantage. Wii had a pack in game. This would appear to give Wii an advantage over Switch. Wii also had a successful new gimmick (motion controls) to propel it's sales. On the other hand, Switch was launched alongside The legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild. That is one of the highest rated games of all time. In the top 5, in fact. Wii had no huge seller like this at launch. It had a lesser Zelda game: Twighlight Princess. Switch also has the new portable/home console factor.
So which is the bigger success in it's first 4 months? I think it's hard to say. I think the strongest indicator will be the one year sold totals. If I had to say which would do the best at years end, I'd give it to Wii. Because Switch has been consistently given more big titles than Wii so far, I think, yet Wii is winning. What do you guys think? Will Switch switch it up by it's first year of sales and outsell Wii in it's first year or will Wii whip Switch's hind end?