By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - Media Create/Famitsu/Dengeki - April 3rd - 9th 2017

EricFabian said:
tbone51 said:

Unless they cant produce that much, i think 70k is the very low end. Dont forget splatoon testfire ended with 75k sold that week after that 45k drop. Golden week is mk8 debut week followed by 2nd part of golden week.

 

I think nintendo is savin some stock so with 35k-45k for each week leading into mki debut week i can see this...

 

90k-110k (release week)

60k-75k (following week)

I hope so, but I'm going to keep my hopes down :p

Dont worry im usually right, if not close enough:p



Around the Network
tbone51 said:
EricFabian said:

I hope so, but I'm going to keep my hopes down :p

Dont worry im usually right, if not close enough:p

Agree, around 100k for MK8D launch seems right.



Miyamotoo said:

Easily, its still have good numbers despite its still supply constrained.

Its been a while since I finished basic economics... but from what i remember of demand and supply.....

there is a difference with something being in high deman and something not meeting demand.

Being in high demand means that even though supply is nominal or above average the demand for the product is still so great that there will be shortages.

Not meeting demand (as a result of being supply constrained) is when there isn't enough of a product made to meet the demand for that product.

Now my reasoning is this...... 

We are in the launch window of the Switch. There is a certain number of consoles that if nintendo made and shippsed would be sold out instantly. This number may be 1M, 2m or even 5M. This is the number of people that will buy that console regardless of anything at a specific price point. These people aren't wating for the price to drop or any number of games to become available. They will buy the console as it is there and then.

I believe nintendo has not shipped enough consoles to meet that initial demand. As such why its supply constrained. I believe you can't just walk into any store in japan and walk out with a switch, meaning there aren't enough of them in th wild. Mind you, thisis still a really good problem for launch hardware to have. I just feel you can't possibly have launch hardware that is obviously supply constrained and not see great numbers. They are basically selling them as fast as they can makee them available.

Hence whyI keep saying its too early to take any of this to mean anything. Just to be clear, before you start thinking I am trying to shit on anyones parade.... I said the sme thing against the PS4/Xb1.



think-man said:
outlawauron said:
It's lasted a while, but PS4 is finally below 30k. Had a good run.

Will probably continue to drop, they aren't many notable releasing in the coming weeks. Dragon Quest XI and GT Sport can't come soon enough, those two games are going to push a fair few consoles.

It'll be below 20k very soon. Either next week or the week after.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

Imagine if Horizon fell off a cliff and were to sell 3k... Oooh the meltdowns.



Around the Network
SuperNova said:
tbone51 said:

Unless they cant produce that much, i think 70k is the very low end. Dont forget splatoon testfire ended with 75k sold that week after that 45k drop. Golden week is mk8 debut week followed by 2nd part of golden week.

 

I think nintendo is savin some stock so with 35k-45k for each week leading into mki debut week i can see this...

 

90k-110k (release week)

60k-75k (following week)

This is what I'm hoping for as well. The Switch is basically selling through all of it's shipments every week, though. So I really hope Nintendo has some reserves for MK8 and golden week.

Any idea when we will get numers for last quarter?

Numbers by end of the month (shipments)



Kuksenkov said:
Imagine if Horizon fell off a cliff and were to sell 3k... Oooh the meltdowns.

I  mean if that were to happen, game did very well for a western title in japan. Its still selling good too in the west. I doubt many will be upset as the game already surpassed expectations.

 

Its not like its zelda vs horizon in japan. Only WW/west



Sorry for OT but I take it golden week is a big holiday in Japan? Do sales typically increase?



Pretty tame week for software

Nice to see the 3DS do well, and of course the Switch :p



NintenDomination [May 2015 - July 2017]
 

  - Official  VGChartz Tutorial Thread - 

NintenDomination [2015/05/19 - 2017/07/02]
 

          

 

 

Here lies the hidden threads. 

 | |

Nintendo Metascore | Official NintenDomination | VGC Tutorial Thread

| Best and Worst of Miiverse | Manga Discussion Thead |
[3DS] Winter Playtimes [Wii U]

Intrinsic said:
Miyamotoo said:

Easily, its still have good numbers despite its still supply constrained.

Its been a while since I finished basic economics... but from what i remember of demand and supply.....

there is a difference with something being in high deman and something not meeting demand.

Being in high demand means that even though supply is nominal or above average the demand for the product is still so great that there will be shortages.

Not meeting demand (as a result of being supply constrained) is when there isn't enough of a product made to meet the demand for that product.

Now my reasoning is this...... 

We are in the launch window of the Switch. There is a certain number of consoles that if nintendo made and shippsed would be sold out instantly. This number may be 1M, 2m or even 5M. This is the number of people that will buy that console regardless of anything at a specific price point. These people aren't wating for the price to drop or any number of games to become available. They will buy the console as it is there and then.

I believe nintendo has not shipped enough consoles to meet that initial demand. As such why its supply constrained. I believe you can't just walk into any store in japan and walk out with a switch, meaning there aren't enough of them in th wild. Mind you, thisis still a really good problem for launch hardware to have. I just feel you can't possibly have launch hardware that is obviously supply constrained and not see great numbers. They are basically selling them as fast as they can makee them available.

Hence whyI keep saying its too early to take any of this to mean anything. Just to be clear, before you start thinking I am trying to shit on anyones parade.... I said the sme thing against the PS4/Xb1.

Currently Switch is doing well even we know that is supply constrained, and it will be going better when there is not supply constrained and when MK8D arrives in 3 weeks, its seems there is pretty strong demand for Switch in Japan.