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Forums - Politics Discussion - Elections in the Netherlands - Nationalist surge halted, high voter turnout

Some context:

 

- The nationalist, anti-EU, anti-immigrant party (PVV) gained ground on 2012, but far less than was assumed previously. Seen as a big loss, as well below polling data.

-VVD forming the government, but that is a surprise to no one. 

-The labour party, last time 2nd largest, lost a large majority of their support.

-Big gains by the Greens and D66, a heavily pro-EU party. Both mostly appreciated by youths.

-Large coalition will be necessary - votes very scattered.

-Awesome voter turnout. Above 82%.

 

-All data based on exit-polling and early results. Changes still in the possible.

 

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-39285803



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Oh, I forgot to put it into Political. Why can't you change that after posting ? ...



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Wait is this surge of the Socialist and Greens, weren't they dead last election.



 

Based on exit polling. Right... The same exit polling that was horribly off in the us elections, and said that brexit was a lost cause? 



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barneystinson69 said:

Based on exit polling. Right... The same exit polling that was horribly off in the us elections, and said that brexit was a lost cause? 

For the general outlines, they are fine. You can add or substract 5% of each result, if you want to. Note that the Netherlands has a proportional voting system, which makes it alot easier to predict, as alot less volatile.



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barneystinson69 said:

Based on exit polling. Right... The same exit polling that was horribly off in the us elections, and said that brexit was a lost cause? 

I mean, the american popular vote prediction was pretty much spot-on (popular vote is much easier to predict.) In the Netherlands, popular vote is all that counts.



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palou said:
barneystinson69 said:

Based on exit polling. Right... The same exit polling that was horribly off in the us elections, and said that brexit was a lost cause? 

I mean, the american popular vote prediction was pretty much spot-on (popular vote is much easier to predict.) In the Netherlands, popular vote is all that counts.

That can't be said with brexit. And most polls showed a 4 point lead for Clinton, and in key states in the rust belt were easy wins for her. They were off, and until we see the actual results, I'm talking this with a grain of salt.



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

I woudn't call Wilders far right, he isn't even economically conservative.



areason said:
I woudn't call Wilders far right, he isn't even economically conservative.

Better?



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

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barneystinson69 said:
palou said:

I mean, the american popular vote prediction was pretty much spot-on (popular vote is much easier to predict.) In the Netherlands, popular vote is all that counts.

That can't be said with brexit. And most polls showed a 4 point lead for Clinton, and in key states in the rust belt were easy wins for her. They were off, and until we see the actual results, I'm talking this with a grain of salt.

Here's 50% of vote counted:

 

VVD-ALDE: 21.5% 

PVV-ENF 13%

CDA-EPP 12.5%

D66-ALDE 11.9%

GL-G/EFA 9.3%

SP-LEFT 9.3%

 

Seems pretty accurate.



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

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