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Forums - Sales Discussion - 2016 End Of Year Console Sales Predictions

SlayerRondo on 01 January 2016
slab_of_bacon said:
zorg1000 said:

Why do you expect the PS4 sales to decrease over 60% year on year???

 

I have no clue why Playstation 4 sales have been so high thus far.  The only thing I can think of is people who were turned off by the Playstation 3 price who waited for this console.  I just don't see the attraction to a console with only better graphics.  May I be enlightened by the truth one year from today... I really don't get it.  I think the numbers will decline...it's not personal.  

I thought this thread would be fun...


 

But youre expecting PS4 sales to dip way below the PS3 when historically its entering the period where sales are strongest in consoles lifecycle.

And if people are willing to buy the new model of iphone every year why would people picking up a new console after six years be surprising.

You only have to look at previous console sales to see how completely insane youre prediction is.



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Shiken on 01 January 2016

PS4: 55 mil
X1: 32 mil
WiiU: 16 mil



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bouzane on 01 January 2016

PS4 = 55
XBOne = 29
Wii U = 14
3DS = 62
Vita = 14

To the people predicting anything less than 50 million for the PS4 or greater than 16 million for the WiiU I have to ask you, how on Earth did you arrive at such numbers?



LipeJJ on 01 January 2016
mZuzek said:
LipeJJ said:
PS4: 55m
XB1: 29m
WiiU: 15.5m

Bonus

3DS: 65m
Vita: 15m

Admit it, you just took off that extra 0.5m from the Vita to make it seem like that prediction wasn't originally someone else's.

No. O.o Did someone already make it? I swear these numbers just came up to my mind after thinking a bit. :P





Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

chapset on 02 January 2016

PS4: 37m
X1: 32m
WiiU: 28m
Vita: 34m
3DS: 39m
I used my guts for those predictions



Bet reminder: I bet with Tboned51 that Splatoon won't reach the 1 million shipped mark by the end of 2015. I win if he loses and I lose if I lost.

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LipeJJ on 02 January 2016
mZuzek said:
LipeJJ said:
mZuzek said:
LipeJJ said:
PS4: 55m
XB1: 29m
WiiU: 15.5m

Bonus

3DS: 65m
Vita: 15m

Admit it, you just took off that extra 0.5m from the Vita to make it seem like that prediction wasn't originally someone else's.

No. O.o Did someone already make it? I swear these numbers just came up to my mind after thinking a bit. :P

I said 15.5m for the Vita, everything else was the same.

 

What a coincidence! That's amazing tho, just shows how good for predictions your are! :P :P



Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

UltimateGamer1982 on 02 January 2016

PS4 was at 18.5 WW last January Sony announced during last year's CES press conference.

A year later they're estimated to be around the 35-37 million range which would mean they sold 17-18 million in a year.

So let's say Sony announces next week at ces sales are now at 37-38 million WW, cool. Now let's also say VR takes off big this year after it launches and Sony takes the price down to $299 permanent, that could send ps4 sales close to 20 million, maybe 21 this year. That would pretty much come close to ps2's best year and put them at 59 million by this time next year.

As for wiiu, I expect it's sales to fall drastically assuming Nintendo launches the NX this fall as rumored.
Xbox one sales should also be down YOY as they've already used up their first price cut and halo 5 has already came and went and gears 4 won't do anything close to the numbers it put up during the 360 years.

So my prediction goes as follows.

PS4 58 million.
XB1 22-23 million
WIU 13 million.



ps_wiro on 02 January 2016

PS4 - 52m
XB1 - 27m
Wii U - 16m



LipeJJ on 02 January 2016
chapset said:
PS4: 37m
X1: 32m
WiiU: 28m
Vita: 34m
3DS: 39m
I used my guts for those predictions

Bolded: did sales went backwards? :P





Bet with Teeqoz for 2 weeks of avatar and sig control that Super Mario Odyssey would ship more than 7m on its first 2 months. The game shipped 9.07m, so I won

midrange on 02 January 2016
slab_of_bacon said:

 

 

Another year and more reasons to pick up a Playstation 4, Xbox One, or a Wii U.  As of the December 12th sales we're looking at:

Playstation 4:  33.2 million

Xbox One:  18.1 million

Wii U:  11.7 million

 

Now, these numbers will go up from the last two weeks of the year.  But where will things be at a year from now?

I recall answering this question last year so I thought I would throw it out there for this one.

 

By the end of 2016,I think we will see

Playstation 4: 38m

Xbox One: 23m

Wii U: 15m

(I don't expect to see a new Nintendo home console in 2016)

 

What do you think this landscape will look like?

You think the Xbox one will do better than the ps4?