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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict: LTD of next gen by end of 2015! Deadline: January 28th

Maraccuda said:
WiiU: 14
XB1: 19
PS4: 29
3DS: 57
Vita: 11

So you have the PS4 selling 3.5M less in its second year with more and bigger games being released than it did in its first year.  And then you have the XB1 selling 1M more in its second year than it did in its first. And the WiiU selling more than it has in almost its years on the market combined. 

Hahahahahahahahaha!!! you're funny. Ah well, only thing that makes a good prediction is a couple of bad ones I guess. 



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Wii U: 12.6
XB1: 21
PS4: 37
3DS: 58
Vita: 11



Intrinsic said:
Maraccuda said:
WiiU: 14
XB1: 19
PS4: 29
3DS: 57
Vita: 11

So you have the PS4 selling 3.5M less in its second year with more and bigger games being released than it did in its first year.  And then you have the XB1 selling 1M more in its second year than it did in its first. And the WiiU selling more than it has in almost its years on the market combined. 

Hahahahahahahahaha!!! you're funny. Ah well, only thing that makes a good prediction is a couple of bad ones I guess. 

Well because I expect the PS4 hype to have died down slightly and that the increase in the xbone's momentum will takes some customers away from Sony.

And yes I think Wii U will have its best year yet, despite another obvious early gaming drought.



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Wii U: 12.3 million
XB1: 20.5 million
PS4: 36 million
3DS: 58 million
Vita: 11.5 million



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Wii u 12m
Xbox 20m
Ps4 36m
Psvita 11m
3ds 58m



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Maraccuda said:
Intrinsic said:
Maraccuda said:
WiiU: 14
XB1: 19
PS4: 29
3DS: 57
Vita: 11

So you have the PS4 selling 3.5M less in its second year with more and bigger games being released than it did in its first year.  And then you have the XB1 selling 1M more in its second year than it did in its first. And the WiiU selling more than it has in almost its years on the market combined. 

Hahahahahahahahaha!!! you're funny. Ah well, only thing that makes a good prediction is a couple of bad ones I guess. 

Well because I expect the PS4 hype to have died down slightly and that the increase in the xbone's momentum will takes some customers away from Sony.

And yes I think Wii U will have its best year yet, despite another obvious early gaming drought.

All those points are irrelevant even if they are true. Year 2 always (except for PSP and PSV) > Year 1. And if you are only predicting 19M for Xb one that does not at all represent taking momentum off PS4. 19M for Xb one represents almost no YoY growth at all. If you want to predict Xb one taking momentum off PS4 then you will have to put Xb one into the low 20 millions. What you are actually implying with your prediction is that Wii U will take momentum off both Xb one and PS4 causing Ps4 to have negative YoY growth and Xb one to be flat YoY.

If there is one thing that is guaranteed not to happen this year it's that PS4 and Xb one both fail to have YoY growth. At least one of them will.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

wii u: 13m
xbone: 19.5m
ps4: 34.5m
3ds: 61m
vita: 11m



Wii U: 12.2M

XBO: 22.1 M

PS4: 37.8 M

3DS: 56.9 M

Vita: 10.9 M



Wii U: 12 Million
XB1: 24 million
PS4: 32 million
3DS: 58.7 million
PS Vita: 11.3 million



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WiiU: 10.9M
XB1: 21.2M
PS4: 37.1M
3DS: 56.3M
Vita: 10.6M



Prediction made in 14/01/2014 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 70M      WiiU: 25M

Prediction made in 01/04/2016 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 18M

Prediction made in 15/04/2017 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 90M      XOne: 40M      WiiU: 15M      Switch: 20M

Prediction made in 24/03/2018 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 110M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 14M      Switch: 65M