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Forums - Sales Discussion - Holiday Prediction Sales for Xb1, PS4, WiiU

jamesmarkus87 on 07 October 2014

I think you guys might be underestimating Wii U's sales this holiday. I think that Super Smash Bros. will be a much bigger system seller for Wii U than Forza Horizon 2, Sunset Overdrive, and Master Chief Collection will be for Xbox One.

PS4, meanwhile, is pretty much set for 20 million by January 1.



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Seece on 07 October 2014
Mummelmann said:

That's a tough call, I'll make a guess:

PS4:

Oct: 1.1 million

Nov: 2 million

Dec: 2.7 million

 

One:

Oct: 700k

Nov: 1.5 million (good Black Friday, the battle for the US is only just beginning in the 8th gen)

Dec: 1.9 million

 

Wii U:

Oct: 300k

Nov: 700k

Dec: 1.35 million

Don't see anything wrong with these.



 

Mummelmann on 07 October 2014
jamesmarkus87 said:
I think you guys might be underestimating Wii U's sales this holiday. I think that Super Smash Bros. will be a much bigger system seller for Wii U than Forza Horizon 2, Sunset Overdrive, and Master Chief Collection will be for Xbox One.

PS4, meanwhile, is pretty much set for 20 million by January 1.


20 million? That's about 700k average weekly starting October 1st.



tak13 on 07 October 2014

double post!



jamesmarkus87 on 07 October 2014
Mummelmann said:
jamesmarkus87 said:
I think you guys might be underestimating Wii U's sales this holiday. I think that Super Smash Bros. will be a much bigger system seller for Wii U than Forza Horizon 2, Sunset Overdrive, and Master Chief Collection will be for Xbox One.

PS4, meanwhile, is pretty much set for 20 million by January 1.


20 million? That's about 700k average weekly starting October 1st.

I predict that it's going to sell over 1 million each week between November 15 and January 1



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drake_tolu on 07 October 2014
Welfare said:

Well I already have my predictions for the NPD threads, sooo...

Month PS4 Xbox One Wii U
October 345,000 310,000 56,000
November 829,000 784,000 261,000
December 1,064,000 952,000 432,000

My NPD prediction:

Month
October 400K 250K 110K
November 900K 750K 450K
December 1.8M 1M 800K


tak13 on 07 October 2014

PS4
OCT: 850k
NOV: 2M
DEC: 3M

XB1
OCT: 450k
NOV: 1.3M
DEC: 1.7M

WiiU
OCT: 270k
NOV:900k
DEC: 2.2M
i explain why ps4/xbone is lower than September! September had 5 weeks,the super hyped destiny and fifa(and for xbone many tier 2 countries release) and October have system sellers but not too big e.g NBA live and 2k give boost only in USA! As for wii u,i just doubled the sales it had in 2013 except oct because smash bros boost +Mario kart 8,



tak13 on 07 October 2014
Ka-pi96 said:
StarDoor said:
Ka-pi96 said:
fleischr said:

X1 and Wii U sales almost the same as last year?

Already been adjusted, but yeah. Xbox One had incredible launch sales, so those again would be great. While Wii U has had very little improvement over the last year, so I'd be surprised if it manages to beat last year, but going much lower would just seem too low.

In terms of sales, the Wii U is up 50% from last year. What, exactly, are you referring to?

It's actually only up by 37%, amounting to only a 510k increase. Which is entirely due to Mario Kart 8, in fact now that the MK boost is pretty much gone the Wii U's September sales of 175,694 are actually below last Septembers sales of 189,382. So yeah if it's September sales aren't any higher than last years then I don't really expect it's Oct-Dec sales to be either.


hey hey kapi...we haven t got the fifth week!189.382 was in five weeks,175,694 is in four weeks!



tak13 on 07 October 2014
Ka-pi96 said:
tak13 said:


hey hey kapi...we haven t got the fifth week!189.382 was in five weeks,175,694 is in four weeks!

As StarDoor already pointed out that fifth week was actually the first week of October (week ending 5th October). Since the next week to come to VGC will be the week ending the 4th October, that should be in Octobers sales for this year, not Septembers.


no kapi...vgchart does, what npd does!the first week of october belongs to september:P



Landguy on 07 October 2014

Well now =

PS4
OCT: 1.1M
NOV: 1.6M
DEC: 2.3M
XB1
OCT: 600k
NOV: 1.2M
DEC: 1.5M
WiiU
OCT: 300k
NOV:900K
DEC: 1.2M



It is near the end of the end....