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Do You Still Think Wii U is Going to Outsell the Xbox One this Holiday?

Forums - Sales Discussion - Do You Still Think Wii U is Going to Outsell the Xbox One this Holiday?

Who Will Sell more?

Wii U 460 66.86%
 
Xbox One 228 33.14%
 
Total:688

wii u will
Aswer:
1. AMIIBOS
2. SSBrothers
3. PS4 will continue to clean the floor with one



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I think the deciding factor for wii u beating xbox one is japan
is it can do really well with smash, that music game with legs, and toad they have a chance for great japan sales that can beat xbox
but it depends if smash 3ds effects smash wii u sales and hardware bump



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Times I got teary during some scenes: 3

Will be close imo Wii U has smash and other titles and XB1 has everything you mentioned but XB1 will probably be ahead by a little



Predictions: PS4: 110m, XB1: 65m, Wii U: 15m, 3DS: 70m, PSV: 15m

Curl - 6 was right about Zelda U never being a wii u exclusive, I should have never bet against him :p  

hsrob said:

If we look at respective sales from a few weeks ago and assume that they are 'baseline' and the fact that historically Nintendo gets a relatively bigger hardware boost during the holidays I say the possibility remains. I say it's up to Nintendo's marketing, if they come to the party then things could get interesting.

Well the Wii U has been at ~40k for two weeks, so that's what I'd call a 'baseline'.  Plus most of us think Wii U is overtracked ~200k.  If that turns out true (I guess we'll find out next month) then the prior weeks baseline was misleading.



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ICStats said:
hsrob said:

If we look at respective sales from a few weeks ago and assume that they are 'baseline' and the fact that historically Nintendo gets a relatively bigger hardware boost during the holidays I say the possibility remains. I say it's up to Nintendo's marketing, if they come to the party then things could get interesting.

Well the Wii U has been at ~40k for two weeks, so that's what I'd call a 'baseline'.  Plus most of us think Wii U is overtracked ~200k.  If that turns out true (I guess we'll find out next month) then the prior weeks baseline was misleading.

Even if 40 is the new baseline for the Wii U it's still not a mile away from the numbers the XB1 has been doing for a while.  I think it may still come down to how well the respective companies can milk their holiday big hitters and how much of a holiday hardware boost they see.  This is an area where Nintendo has been strong, in terms of percentage change, and the actual numbers early in the year aren't that important other than as a general inidication of demand. 

Given the volume of sales that typically occur in the last three months of the year, one or particularly big weeks on either side, around a key software release for examle, could give them the edge.



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hsrob said:

I think there is a possibility but the probability is slightly in XB1's favour. The level of confidence on display in the comments is only buoyed by the Destiny bump, a game backed by an insane amount of hype and marketing dollars.

If we look at respective sales from a few weeks ago and assume that they are 'baseline' and the fact that historically Nintendo gets a relatively bigger hardware boost during the holidays I say the possibility remains. I say it's up to Nintendo's marketing, if they come to the party then things could get interesting.


you could say the same for Mario Kart



I don't see the wiiU having any chance, and while it's still to be determined how much smash will bump the console sales, there's nothing else for people to buy for the system.



For one, Wii U is 10k higher than the original baseline. Hyrule warriors is coming and that will boost it by a little. Then a 40k-50k baseline after that. Then Bayonetta 2 and then holidays with Smash Bros. and Captain Toad. The Xbox One launched with 23k in Japan XD meanwhile the Wii U launched with 308k and look how low the sales are in Japan. XB1 will do horrific in Japan. And the other countries too.



ICStats said:
hsrob said:

If we look at respective sales from a few weeks ago and assume that they are 'baseline' and the fact that historically Nintendo gets a relatively bigger hardware boost during the holidays I say the possibility remains. I say it's up to Nintendo's marketing, if they come to the party then things could get interesting.

Well the Wii U has been at ~40k for two weeks, so that's what I'd call a 'baseline'.  Plus most of us think Wii U is overtracked ~200k.  If that turns out true (I guess we'll find out next month) then the prior weeks baseline was misleading.


20k in the same time frame in 13--->40k 14 still double ;)



Yes.
Wii U will sell around 500,000 the week before Chrismas, versus the 400,000 of XBOX ONE.