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Forums - Sales Discussion - Do You Still Think Wii U is Going to Outsell the Xbox One this Holiday?

 

Who Will Sell more?

Wii U 460 66.86%
 
Xbox One 228 33.14%
 
Total:688
ICStats on 20 September 2014
hsrob said:

If we look at respective sales from a few weeks ago and assume that they are 'baseline' and the fact that historically Nintendo gets a relatively bigger hardware boost during the holidays I say the possibility remains. I say it's up to Nintendo's marketing, if they come to the party then things could get interesting.

Well the Wii U has been at ~40k for two weeks, so that's what I'd call a 'baseline'.  Plus most of us think Wii U is overtracked ~200k.  If that turns out true (I guess we'll find out next month) then the prior weeks baseline was misleading.



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hsrob on 20 September 2014
ICStats said:
hsrob said:

If we look at respective sales from a few weeks ago and assume that they are 'baseline' and the fact that historically Nintendo gets a relatively bigger hardware boost during the holidays I say the possibility remains. I say it's up to Nintendo's marketing, if they come to the party then things could get interesting.

Well the Wii U has been at ~40k for two weeks, so that's what I'd call a 'baseline'.  Plus most of us think Wii U is overtracked ~200k.  If that turns out true (I guess we'll find out next month) then the prior weeks baseline was misleading.

Even if 40 is the new baseline for the Wii U it's still not a mile away from the numbers the XB1 has been doing for a while.  I think it may still come down to how well the respective companies can milk their holiday big hitters and how much of a holiday hardware boost they see.  This is an area where Nintendo has been strong, in terms of percentage change, and the actual numbers early in the year aren't that important other than as a general inidication of demand. 

Given the volume of sales that typically occur in the last three months of the year, one or particularly big weeks on either side, around a key software release for examle, could give them the edge.



oniyide on 21 September 2014
hsrob said:

I think there is a possibility but the probability is slightly in XB1's favour. The level of confidence on display in the comments is only buoyed by the Destiny bump, a game backed by an insane amount of hype and marketing dollars.
If we look at respective sales from a few weeks ago and assume that they are 'baseline' and the fact that historically Nintendo gets a relatively bigger hardware boost during the holidays I say the possibility remains. I say it's up to Nintendo's marketing, if they come to the party then things could get interesting.


you could say the same for Mario Kart



stlwtng4Dmdrxip on 21 September 2014

I don't see the wiiU having any chance, and while it's still to be determined how much smash will bump the console sales, there's nothing else for people to buy for the system.



gcube2000 on 21 September 2014

For one, Wii U is 10k higher than the original baseline. Hyrule warriors is coming and that will boost it by a little. Then a 40k-50k baseline after that. Then Bayonetta 2 and then holidays with Smash Bros. and Captain Toad. The Xbox One launched with 23k in Japan XD meanwhile the Wii U launched with 308k and look how low the sales are in Japan. XB1 will do horrific in Japan. And the other countries too.



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tak13 on 21 September 2014
ICStats said:
hsrob said:

If we look at respective sales from a few weeks ago and assume that they are 'baseline' and the fact that historically Nintendo gets a relatively bigger hardware boost during the holidays I say the possibility remains. I say it's up to Nintendo's marketing, if they come to the party then things could get interesting.

Well the Wii U has been at ~40k for two weeks, so that's what I'd call a 'baseline'.  Plus most of us think Wii U is overtracked ~200k.  If that turns out true (I guess we'll find out next month) then the prior weeks baseline was misleading.


20k in the same time frame in 13--->40k 14 still double ;)



drake_tolu on 21 September 2014

Yes.
Wii U will sell around 500,000 the week before Chrismas, versus the 400,000 of XBOX ONE.



Seece on 21 September 2014
gcube2000 said:
For one, Wii U is 10k higher than the original baseline. Hyrule warriors is coming and that will boost it by a little. Then a 40k-50k baseline after that. Then Bayonetta 2 and then holidays with Smash Bros. and Captain Toad. The Xbox One launched with 23k in Japan XD meanwhile the Wii U launched with 308k and look how low the sales are in Japan. XB1 will do horrific in Japan. And the other countries too.

40k-50k baseline because of Hyrule in the west? No. October is typically a very low month as well, expect the baseline to drop for WiiU without any system selling software.

What has Japan got to do with anything? XB1 will sell more in November in the US, than WiiU will the entire year in Japan. XB1 doesn't need to do well there to beat WiiU.

Heck, take away Japan and Xbox 360 is at 83m~ shipped and Wii is at 87m~.



 

tak13 on 21 September 2014
Seece said:
gcube2000 said:
For one, Wii U is 10k higher than the original baseline. Hyrule warriors is coming and that will boost it by a little. Then a 40k-50k baseline after that. Then Bayonetta 2 and then holidays with Smash Bros. and Captain Toad. The Xbox One launched with 23k in Japan XD meanwhile the Wii U launched with 308k and look how low the sales are in Japan. XB1 will do horrific in Japan. And the other countries too.

40k-50k baseline because of Hyrule in the west? No. October is typically a very low month as well, expect the baseline to drop for WiiU without any system selling software.

What has Japan got to do with anything? XB1 will sell more in November in the US, than WiiU will the entire year in Japan. XB1 doesn't need to do well there to beat WiiU.

Heck, take away Japan and Xbox 360 is at 83m~ shipped and Wii is at 87m~.

he strikes back!...xb1 was at risk to lose in the last weeks of december because of japan...and finally sales was 1.1 for the struggling  wii u (dont doubt them again they are being verified )and for the newly xbone 1.5!smas bros combined with mario kat can put xbone in danger,unless usa  is a hurdle!p.s wii u this year  selling far better in europe and especially in France and Germany,we have xb1 UK vs wii u France and Germany!



ICStats on 21 September 2014
tak13 said:
ICStats said:

Well the Wii U has been at ~40k for two weeks, so that's what I'd call a 'baseline'.  Plus most of us think Wii U is overtracked ~200k.  If that turns out true (I guess we'll find out next month) then the prior weeks baseline was misleading.


20k in the same time frame in 13--->40k 14 still double ;)

That's true, but it's off topic.



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