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Forums - Politics Discussion - If Kim-Jong-Un Dies Without a Son Who Will lead North Korea

What do you mean? Kim il Sung is the eternal leader of North Korea. Kim Jong Un is merely the figurehead for his dead grandfather.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

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phaedruss said:
Kongfucius said:
 


The Chinese back them to hedge American influence in East Asia - they're not massively supportive but so long as they're there,  their threats discourage a stronger military presence or other measures which the Chinese may not be very keen on - basically they ratchet up the tension and stop the west or Japan from getting hasty just in case they do have viable nukes or other WMDs


I don't normally support interventionism and that kind of policy, but in the case of North Korea I can make an exception lol. I really don't get what China has to gain from antagonizing the west and Japan at this point, especially over some two-bit military dictatorship that has nothing to offer them.

Speaking to a US academic while I was in Viet Nam last week, economic analysts reckon that a unified Korea would, within a relatively short space of time, become the biggest economy in Asia. And clearly a unified Korea would be one that brings North Korea into the South Korean fold, much like East Germany came into the West German fold. Clearly China has a great interest in seeing that not happen. Just as China is set to become the new world power, stepping over the USA in the not too distant future, they do not want to see a western aligned neighbour rapidly rise to rival them in power and influence. Apparently North Korea is pretty resource rich, it just lacks the investment and technological capability to extract them. In that respect China might be keeping North Koreas recources aside for a rainy day. Much better to roll in to North Korea with economic aid and infratructure investment to exclusively get to those resources and consolodate power as and when China needs it, than to release those resources on the global market to benefit others and especially South korea and the West.

It makes a great deal of sense to keep a neighbour with untapped potential down and isolated from the world so that your own strategic position can be maintained and, when the time is right, increased through the exploitation of that neighbour's untapped potential.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

This dude:



My grammar errors are justified by the fact that I am a brazilian living in Brazil. I am also very stupid.



Adameh said:
Doesn't he have a younger/older brother?


Actually he does 2 or 3 I think as his father Kim jeong il had more sons than just him. In fact Kim jong un is the second son and he was picked over the first son to rule.



 

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It's like any absolute monarchy so probably his wife or an uncle. Although, hopefully people would use that as a good time to rebel and demand better. Their ideals failed and they must acknowledge it. Think how difficult it would be to re-educate these people. Unification would probably bankrupt south Korea.



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They would democratically vote in the next person.



QuintonMcLeod said:

If he dies without a son, this would be the perfect time dismantle the N. Korean government and create a whole Korea. The people of N. Korea have suffered long enough.

it's not that easy tho.

South korean people have to agree, and I believe they hate eachother because of years of propaganda.

Also the economy of the north is way worse and totally different than that of the south. 

So to make 1 Korea the south will need to invest a lot in the north, and I can understand them that they don't want to do it or do it alone.

The best way to do this is for the international community to chip in on north korea, build an infrastructure, grow the economy and give them their own governement. And maybe after a couple of decades there is a chance Korea will be united once again. But the north will still be poorer than the south.
eastern germany still has a lower average capita per head then west germany.



phaedruss said:
QuintonMcLeod said:

If he dies without a son, this would be the perfect time dismantle the N. Korean government and create a whole Korea. The people of N. Korea have suffered long enough.


It's truly sad that we're messing around in the Middle East when North Korea is probably the most oppressive state in the world.

Were messing where we have a chance. Not where we none.



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