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Forums - Sales Discussion - The official January NPD Thread

EatTwestermSoriku on 14 February 2008

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Around the Network
Psycho1984 on 14 February 2008
CrazzyMan said:
So wait, only Sony consoles had no shortages? =)))
All other companies consoles had? LOL. =]


Yes it was, you're probably the only person on Earth that didn't know about this............You should inform yourself instead of always posting the same crap day after day, it's getting ridiculous ^^  As many said, You give PS3 fans a bad name :D



bigjon on 14 February 2008

give crazy a break he does not live in NA, it is not like he can go to BB and see the Pyramids of PS3s for himself...



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

Legend11 on 14 February 2008

Carnival Games has now outsold Metroid Prime 3 in North America. Wow...



Kasz216 on 14 February 2008
azrm2k said:
libellule said:
1/ Even if VGC is different, I thought that VGchartz was similar (in the methdology) to NPD, neither better, neither worse, so, in a way, adjustement is not a necessity because we dont know which one is "wrong" ?

2/ BR will push the PS3 even stronger when Toshiba will completely stop to support the HD DVD

3/ ckmlb, Xbox360 Arcade is everywhere but Arcade is not the top selling Xbox360. People firstly buy Premium/Elite and casuals prefer the Wii ...

1. My understanding of the methodology behind this site isn't exact but as far as I know even though the tracking method may be similar VGCharts uses a smaller sample size. That doesn't neccessarily mean you can't get accurate results though. Heck NPD doesn't include WalMart and TRU so their data also has a margin of error with some estimation. It just means the chances of ioi/vgcharts getting some data that isn't representative of the whole market is possible.


 Yes and no.  Sample Size is only half the equation.  Your formula is just as important.  Someone with a drastically smaller sample size could be more accurate then soemone with a larger sample size yet less accurate formular.

However the smaller sample size guy would have a better chance of having a drastic mistake caused by some sort of "polutant" infecting some of the sample data.

After you get some sources the large number of sources is mostly to limit the chances of off shooting a lot because of poluted data. 



Around the Network
twesternn on 14 February 2008

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Zucas on 14 February 2008

Wow interesting on the hardware haha. I mean Wii and DS are explainable but what's with the PS3 and 360.

For once though I'm going to say that NPD is probably a little further off than usual. I mean their Wii sales are going to pretty much agree with our Wii sales which is good but the rest are so far off, and I doubt VGC is that far off. Not to mention software differences are just so huge.



CrazzyMan on 14 February 2008

PS3 is going to WIN this WAR, because competitors are not able to produce enough consoles. LOL, but it`s TRUE. =))

400-500$ costing PS3 sold on pair with 250$ costing Wii. =))
Wait till 299$ price and MGS4, GT5, FFXII, KZ2, LBP and etc.
I feel sorry for competitors. =)))



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

Legend11 on 14 February 2008
CrazzyMan said:
IF PS3 will outsell x360 in February.. THEN it`s a FATALITY! =)))
Yeeehaaa! =))

If the 360 outsells the PS3 in February in North America will that be a FATALITY as well?



Zucas on 14 February 2008

The only real thing I hate about these numbers, is now all the PS3 fanboys are going to think yes its happening, when really Wii is in obvious shortages, and we all knew 360 would start failing in 2008 anyways haha. I mean 360 doing last isn't that a surprise.

Only thing that is a surprise, is that PS3 took the smallest dropoffs from the holiday season. But other than that not too mnay surprises. But I still think that software wise, NPD is a little farther off than normal.